NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	75		Excitement	7.0 [335]		MVP	Carl Landry (NOH): +13.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	67		Comeback	3.0 [234]		LVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHA): -17.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.08	0.01	10	54%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jerome Dyson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Gustavo Ayon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.02	-0.04	0.06	0.04	18	50%	0.11	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	15	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Lance Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Xavier Henry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	19	55%	0.19	3	-0.11	11	82%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	16	41%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	1	42%	-0.07	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.09
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	10	32%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.3	28.4	14.7	29.2	0.8	41.3	138.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +35.3%

NOH +13.6%

CHA -3.5%

NOH +6.2%

CHA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHA	NBA	NOH	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	17.3	15.6	85.2	77.0	102.8
season	16.3	16.3		99.2	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.7		108.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.0	16.3	15.4	14.0	15.7
CHA	17.2	17.2	16.6	17.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	42	41	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.15	16	-8	24	15.2	16.1	-0.96	16.7	17.7	-0.99
Marco Belinelli	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	5	-2	15.7	15.5	0.19	17.7	15.9	1.78
Greivis Vasquez	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	15.7	15.6	0.10	17.3	17.2	0.09
Jason Smith	61	63	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	2	4	15.2	16.8	-1.65	17.6	16.5	1.10
Jerome Dyson	27	27	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.09	14	-6	20	15.5	15.8	-0.27	17.0	17.4	-0.42
Gustavo Ayon	42	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	9	-10	16.5	14.9	1.63	17.7	16.9	0.81
Xavier Henry	32	30	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	1	6	16.5	15.2	1.30	17.4	17.2	0.22
Al-Farouq Aminu	74	75	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	12	-16	15.5	16.7	-1.24	16.6	21.5	-4.93
Lance Thomas	24	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	14	-20	15.9	15.6	0.28	17.6	17.1	0.54

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	67	67	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-19	30	16.6	19.3	-2.72	15.7	15.5	0.19
Kemba Walker	77	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-12	16	16.7	21.8	-5.14	15.8	14.5	1.39
Gerald Henderson	65	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-10	12	16.9	18.3	-1.37	15.5	16.2	-0.74
Jamario Moon	23	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	19.6	16.4	3.20	16.9	15.2	1.68
Byron Mullens	43	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	1	-10	17.5	17.0	0.42	16.3	15.0	1.27
Derrick Brown	64	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-5	2	16.4	19.6	-3.20	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Matt Carroll	22	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	2	-12	18.3	16.9	1.37	16.2	15.5	0.74
Tyrus Thomas	39	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-6	4	17.0	17.4	-0.41	14.9	16.2	-1.25
Cory Higgins	10	11	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	4	-16	21.8	16.7	5.14	14.5	15.8	-1.39
DJ White	25	27	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	8	-24	18.9	16.6	2.34	15.5	15.7	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.09,0.08,0	93.0%
IND 84, ATL 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.6,0.5,0.35,0.38,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.05,0	92.4%
POR 100, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.02,0	92.2%