NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	8.2 [173]		MVP	Luis Scola (HOU): +35.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	3.8 [123]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (LAL): -17.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.36	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.13	0.24	0.01	17	64%	0.37	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.09
Chandler Parsons	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.09	0.02	7	93%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	8	60%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	19	57%	0.21	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.05	3	29%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.04
Courtney Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	20	55%	0.17	1	-0.04	11	100%	0.09
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	13	72%	0.20	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.04	0.03	11	66%	0.14	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.06
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.01	11	54%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	9	17%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	10	36%	-0.08	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	30.3	17.4	32.6	0.2	41.9	150.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +77.9%

LAL -2.1%

LAL -16.3%

LAL -7.9%

LAL -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	13.9	15.6	112.0	104.9	102.8
season	15.4	16.2		103.5	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.5	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.8	16.2	13.5	16.2	14.6
LAL	13.9	12.1	14.7	15.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	65	64	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.30	23	-18	41	13.9	16.0	-2.06	14.4	13.1	1.30
Goran Dragic	82	84	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-9	23	13.7	18.8	-5.06	13.7	15.0	-1.35
Chandler Parsons	82	84	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.27	13	-8	21	13.3	20.6	-7.29	13.5	15.8	-2.29
Marcus Camby	50	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-2	9	15.1	14.1	0.98	14.0	13.7	0.30
Courtney Lee	80	81	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	0	5	14.7	14.1	0.60	14.1	13.1	1.00
Chase Budinger	39	41	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.39	-8	13	-21	16.8	13.3	3.51	14.0	13.8	0.14
Samuel Dalembert	50	49	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	14.1	15.1	-0.98	13.7	14.0	-0.30
Earl Boykins	18	18	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	14	-23	18.8	13.7	5.06	15.0	13.7	1.35
Patrick Patterson	35	38	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.02	-16	21	-37	16.0	13.9	2.06	13.1	14.4	-1.30

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	37	36	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.12	8	-13	21	14.6	13.5	1.06	16.7	13.5	3.27
Josh McRoberts	41	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-7	9	13.9	13.9	-0.02	16.7	13.2	3.53
Troy Murphy	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-4	3	18.7	13.6	5.07	18.3	14.4	3.94
Metta World Peace	71	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-11	17	13.4	15.0	-1.59	14.8	14.3	0.47
Andrew Bynum	69	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	5	-15	13.2	15.2	-2.00	13.5	17.1	-3.62
Matt Barnes	63	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	13.9	13.9	-0.01	15.3	13.6	1.62
Pau Gasol	80	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	14.2	12.8	1.43	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Ramon Sessions	63	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	4	-13	13.8	14.1	-0.30	13.5	16.6	-3.08
Kobe Bryant	80	80	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.33	-16	11	-27	14.0	13.5	0.50	13.6	18.5	-4.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.36,0.34,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 107, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.59,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.24,0.08,0	91.4%
CHI 94, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.52,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.04,0	91.1%
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	90.9%