inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 103 Excitement2.3 [1023] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +10.8%
San Antonio Spurs 128 Comeback1.0 [1049] LVPChris Kaman (NOH): -5.5%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Gordon0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.15-0.000.091967%0.0630.00887%0.01
Trevor Ariza0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00475%0.022-0.0100%0.00
Xavier Henry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03653%0.0000.00367%-0.00
Lance Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Smith-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Carl Landry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01850%-0.002-0.011070%-0.02
Marco Belinelli-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.031448%0.001-0.02333%-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00267%-0.002-0.02250%-0.00
Gustavo Ayon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01531%-0.0300.00367%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.000.06867%0.012-0.042100%-0.00
Chris Kaman-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.01844%-0.022-0.032100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.000.016100%0.131-0.022100%0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03560%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.00959%0.041-0.004100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.04986%0.074-0.03475%-0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.07978%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.061065%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.02650%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.05945%0.022-0.01250%-0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00462%0.021-0.0100%0.00
James Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05470%0.0000.002100%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.080.000.08391%0.001-0.01580%-0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.04550%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.92.426.414.726.12.429.5127.2
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +39.8%
NOH -2.9%
SAS +9.5%
SAS +2.7%
SAS +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHSASNBANOHSASNBA
this game15.114.815.6106.2133.3102.8
season16.315.399.2109.1
opponent15.215.7101.5103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH15.315.812.916.715.1
SAS14.714.813.316.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lance Thomas1920-0.08-0.420.350.16-8-17916.114.81.2416.314.41.97
Gustavo Ayon3434-0.11-0.390.290.19-10-15515.914.61.2815.614.41.19
Al-Farouq Aminu3535-0.12-0.380.250.11-8-17916.114.51.6616.214.02.22
Greivis Vasquez6161-0.13-0.370.23-0.285-303514.116.7-2.6615.014.30.71
Jason Smith3130-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-211714.715.2-0.5515.414.50.88
Xavier Henry4343-0.17-0.330.160.18-12-13115.814.41.3716.113.82.32
Trevor Ariza5453-0.30-0.20-0.100.11-14-11-314.515.7-1.1613.716.1-2.44
Chris Kaman5453-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-13-12-114.415.8-1.3713.816.1-2.32
Carl Landry4444-0.35-0.15-0.190.15-17-8-915.115.00.1113.915.5-1.59
Marco Belinelli4241-0.36-0.14-0.230.49-294-3316.114.31.8414.814.8-0.02
Eric Gordon6866-0.41-0.09-0.320.03-15-10-514.616.1-1.5514.116.3-2.15

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili42420.410.090.31-0.4429-43314.015.4-1.4916.513.92.64
Kawhi Leonard46470.310.190.13-0.041213-114.215.4-1.2313.516.5-3.03
Tim Duncan45460.300.200.11-0.051213-113.815.6-1.8214.115.9-1.88
DeJuan Blair43430.300.200.100.011015-514.115.3-1.2213.516.3-2.85
Patty Mills44420.230.27-0.04-0.301871115.614.11.5216.114.31.80
Stephen Jackson46470.190.31-0.13-0.141114-315.514.21.3216.313.82.50
Matt Bonner30300.190.31-0.13-0.221411314.415.0-0.5216.714.32.34
Boris Diaw40420.160.34-0.18-0.04718-1115.814.11.7716.014.31.76
Gary Neal34350.140.36-0.21-0.03619-1316.314.02.3716.014.51.53
Tony Parker36370.120.38-0.250.15-126-2713.815.4-1.6213.316.1-2.79
Danny Green34350.090.41-0.320.18-328-3114.614.9-0.2212.516.5-3.92
Tiago Splitter21210.050.45-0.40-0.241015-514.514.9-0.4016.614.62.00
James Anderson19180.000.50-0.500.00025-2516.614.32.2915.914.91.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 93, LAL 1240.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
LAL 94, POR 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
LAC 104, GSW 1210.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%