NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	2.3 [1258]		MVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): +14.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	111		Comeback	1.1 [608]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -5.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	12	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	4	80%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.03	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	11	50%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	29	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	11	69%	0.14	0	0.00	10	70%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.00	0.04	4	122%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	18	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	42%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.00	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	3	0%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	31.2	15.7	38.0	1.8	30.0	142.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.6%

POR +1.3%

POR +8.4%

POR +5.5%

POR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	17.3	15.5	103.3	124.7	106.4
season	14.9	16.7		110.6	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.4		105.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	15.0	16.8	13.4	14.8
POR	17.3	18.6	17.5	15.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-27	37	9.3	15.2	-5.94	12.6	17.7	-5.09
Adam Morrison	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-27	37	9.3	15.2	-5.94	12.6	17.7	-5.09
DJ Mbenga	32	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.30	7	-24	31	14.2	15.1	-0.95	16.3	17.8	-1.43
Josh Powell	43	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-19	21	14.5	15.0	-0.53	16.1	18.4	-2.22
Sasha Vujacic	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-11	5	16.2	14.1	2.09	17.0	17.4	-0.32
Trevor Ariza	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.20	-13	-4	-9	16.6	14.2	2.34	16.4	17.5	-1.09
Jordan Farmar	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-15	13	15.0	14.5	0.52	16.3	18.4	-2.13
Derek Fisher	44	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-2	-13	14.5	15.0	-0.52	18.4	16.3	2.13
Luke Walton	46	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-2	-13	14.7	14.9	-0.24	18.4	16.2	2.29
Kobe Bryant	73	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	3	-23	14.8	14.6	0.27	17.9	14.7	3.25
Lamar Odom	48	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.16	-19	2	-21	15.0	14.5	0.53	18.4	16.1	2.22
Pau Gasol	59	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.30	-24	7	-31	15.1	14.2	0.95	17.8	16.3	1.43

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	68	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.48	30	-13	43	17.8	15.4	2.46	15.0	14.0	0.99
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.27	23	-6	29	17.6	15.6	2.07	15.1	13.1	2.04
Joel Przybilla	64	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.37	26	-9	35	18.1	15.1	2.97	15.0	14.3	0.70
Rudy Fernandez	22	25	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	1	15	17.3	17.3	0.02	16.2	14.2	1.92
Travis Outlaw	45	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.17	16	1	15	17.2	17.4	-0.21	15.1	14.4	0.73
Steve Blake	61	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	1	15	18.0	15.5	2.51	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Nicolas Batum	42	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	20	-23	17.1	17.4	-0.31	14.4	15.1	-0.62
Channing Frye	30	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.35	-7	24	-31	15.2	18.3	-3.16	15.1	14.6	0.44
Sergio Rodriguez	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.50	-12	29	-41	16.4	17.6	-1.15	14.3	14.9	-0.65
Jerryd Bayless	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	27	-37	12.6	17.7	-5.09	9.3	15.2	-5.94
Shavlik Randolph	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	27	-37	12.6	17.7	-5.09	9.3	15.2	-5.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 103, SAS 128	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
PHX 97, CHI 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
LAC 104, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%