NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	75		Excitement	3.6 [868]		MVP	Robin Lopez (PHX): +8.5%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	1.1 [1009]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): -11.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	14	50%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	48%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	8	39%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	0.07	10	59%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	4	71%	0.10	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	11	64%	0.13	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	3	78%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.01	0.06	16	60%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	3.3	30.0	14.8	24.2	2.8	26.3	122.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +14.2%

PHX +17.9%

PHX +5.0%

PHX +12.2%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHX	NBA	NOH	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	15.1	15.6	82.4	101.1	102.8
season	16.3	15.0		99.2	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.9	16.4	15.0	16.1	16.5
PHX	13.3	14.2	14.3	19.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	42	43	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.22	10	-27	37	16.0	17.0	-1.02	16.7	13.6	3.12
Chris Johnson	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-17	17	19.4	16.3	3.12	13.0	15.3	-2.27
Xavier Henry	39	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-11	5	17.5	15.9	1.60	15.9	14.5	1.41
Lance Thomas	19	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-6	-5	17.6	16.3	1.30	14.6	15.2	-0.64
Gustavo Ayon	53	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-17	17	15.8	17.6	-1.77	15.6	14.4	1.25
Jason Smith	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-4	-9	16.1	17.3	-1.25	14.9	15.3	-0.39
Chris Kaman	48	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-7	-3	17.1	15.9	1.17	15.2	15.0	0.24
Al-Farouq Aminu	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-10	3	17.3	14.3	3.00	15.0	15.5	-0.59
Marco Belinelli	68	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.06	-21	4	-25	15.7	19.1	-3.45	14.4	17.1	-2.72
Jarrett Jack	55	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.21	-27	10	-37	16.5	16.6	-0.15	14.3	16.4	-2.09

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	52	52	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.23	28	-11	39	14.3	16.1	-1.76	16.1	17.1	-0.97
Jared Dudley	70	71	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.16	25	-8	33	14.5	17.0	-2.47	15.9	18.8	-2.88
Steve Nash	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-1	19	14.8	16.0	-1.17	16.4	17.1	-0.73
Channing Frye	66	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-3	23	14.8	15.8	-1.02	16.2	17.3	-1.06
Marcin Gortat	52	52	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.19	21	-4	25	14.1	16.4	-2.34	16.6	16.5	0.11
Robin Lopez	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	21	-25	16.4	14.1	2.34	16.5	16.6	-0.11
Hakim Warrick	25	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	20	-23	15.8	14.8	1.02	17.3	16.2	1.06
Sebastian Telfair	24	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	18	-19	16.0	14.8	1.17	17.1	16.4	0.73
Michael Redd	26	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	24	-31	16.2	14.7	1.48	18.0	16.0	2.00
Josh Childress	34	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.24	-12	29	-41	16.6	14.2	2.42	17.4	16.0	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 75, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
BOS 94, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
HOU 99, MIA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%