NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	85		Excitement	7.6 [256]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +15.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	88		Comeback	19.5 [120]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): -20.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	17	47%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Xavier Henry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	11	45%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	12	31%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,-0.21	-0.02	-0.19	0.00	20	42%	-0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	10	76%	0.26	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.05
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27,-0.24,-0.31,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,0.14	0.14	-0.18	0.29	-0.03	21	23%	0.15	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	60%	0.14	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	90%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.07
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	11	33%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	25.2	16.5	25.6	2.3	33.8	126.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +50.3%

LAL +17.3%

LAL +6.3%

NOH -16.4%

NOH -7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAL	NBA	NOH	LAL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.8	15.6	96.6	98.9	102.8
season	16.3	16.2		99.2	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.7	17.5	16.0	17.6	16.7
LAL	16.3	15.2	16.8	15.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	60	0.56	-1.06	1.61	0.15	14	-17	31	16.2	17.8	-1.61	16.7	14.1	2.63
Chris Johnson	46	46	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.12	0	-3	3	17.5	15.8	1.67	16.1	15.6	0.55
Xavier Henry	34	36	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.32	7	-10	17	16.7	16.7	0.05	16.9	15.1	1.85
Lance Thomas	61	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	5	-13	16.5	17.2	-0.75	16.1	15.3	0.81
Jason Smith	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.51	4	-7	11	16.4	17.9	-1.52	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Greivis Vasquez	44	45	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	-1	-1	16.9	16.5	0.41	15.7	16.0	-0.22
Jarrett Jack	61	61	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.43	-12	9	-21	16.8	16.4	0.38	15.3	17.1	-1.79
Marco Belinelli	67	66	-0.93	0.43	-1.37	-0.41	-18	15	-33	16.9	16.0	0.93	14.8	18.8	-3.96

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	61	62	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.47	12	-9	21	15.1	17.4	-2.31	16.4	17.4	-1.02
Kobe Bryant	71	70	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.50	4	-1	5	15.4	17.7	-2.29	16.8	16.3	0.47
Matt Barnes	50	50	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-1	5	16.0	15.6	0.36	17.3	15.9	1.47
Andrew Bynum	69	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.51	-1	4	-5	16.1	15.0	1.02	16.4	17.8	-1.45
Pau Gasol	68	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-9	21	15.1	18.4	-3.32	16.9	15.9	0.96
Steve Blake	39	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	7	-11	16.7	15.2	1.51	17.1	16.4	0.65
Metta World Peace	47	45	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.13	-5	8	-13	16.3	15.4	0.92	16.0	17.5	-1.53
Josh McRoberts	40	39	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.09	-7	10	-17	17.2	14.8	2.42	16.9	16.5	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 123, HOU 125	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.16,1	91.2%
MIA 93, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.26,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.08,1	90.4%
BOS 80, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.17,1	90.4%