inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 81 Excitement6.3 [434] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +16.7%
Miami Heat 91 Comeback1.6 [754] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -21.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Quentin Richardson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.150.040.08894%0.1100.0000%0.00
Glen Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.01747%0.011-0.02560%-0.03
Ryan Anderson-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.01642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Duhon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00275%0.072-0.0900%0.00
Jason Richardson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.011344%0.001-0.041100%0.01
Jameer Nelson-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.02-0.051442%0.033-0.06367%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.03520%-0.033-0.0700%0.00
JJ Redick-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.09-0.09-0.00440%-0.024-0.172100%0.01
Dwight Howard-0.210,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.10-0.100.011741%-0.064-0.151040%-0.06

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.040.130.002554%0.253-0.08771%-0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.15-0.020.041374%0.131-0.045100%0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.04-0.01650%0.0600.0000%0.00
Dexter Pittman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.120.08-0.031439%0.084-0.10875%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01844%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.04-0.030.061125%0.001-0.052100%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.00229%-0.021-0.02367%-0.01
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.01430%-0.0500.00250%-0.02
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.63.430.619.529.33.629.5147.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +23.9%
MIA +10.3%
ORL -11.4%
MIA +28.4%
ORL -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game17.214.815.690.0101.1102.8
season16.215.5102.8105.6
opponent15.815.898.8103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL18.317.317.815.417.2
MIA13.013.418.215.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick3434-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-121417.017.3-0.3214.814.9-0.11
Glen Davis3839-0.10-0.400.30-0.162-121417.317.10.2615.514.41.11
Chris Duhon2424-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-8618.316.71.5915.614.51.08
Quentin Richardson5454-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.23-1-9816.618.1-1.4815.413.91.53
Ryan Anderson4444-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-1-817.117.2-0.0614.315.4-1.10
Hedo Turkoglu5352-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-111-1217.616.51.1114.315.6-1.34
Jameer Nelson6666-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.12-8-2-616.718.3-1.5914.515.6-1.08
Jason Richardson6060-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.07-111-1217.316.90.4514.515.6-1.10
Dwight Howard7777-0.530.03-0.57-0.18-122-1417.217.10.1015.113.21.87

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade75740.64-0.140.770.1716-62214.416.8-2.3617.017.9-0.94
Mario Chalmers69680.57-0.070.640.1315-52014.316.4-2.0817.217.10.04
LeBron James73730.52-0.020.540.1413-31614.715.5-0.7917.316.50.79
Chris Bosh72720.51-0.010.530.1014-41814.117.7-3.5416.918.2-1.32
Shane Battier41420.200.30-0.090.23-111-1215.014.70.2616.218.0-1.79
Joel Anthony41430.180.32-0.130.0164215.014.70.2618.515.92.58
Udonis Haslem30290.140.36-0.220.1119-816.813.92.9017.517.00.52
Dexter Pittman76-0.020.52-0.530.04-212-1417.714.63.1214.317.4-3.04
Norris Cole2122-0.070.57-0.640.08-515-2016.414.32.0817.117.2-0.04
James Jones2121-0.180.68-0.860.02-717-2414.914.80.0917.617.00.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 95, POR 1020.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,193.3%
ATL 94, NYK 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.96,1,0.99,1,193.1%
GSW 107, PHX 1160.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.96,1,1,193.0%