NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	7.0 [397]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +18.6%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.6 [810]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -18.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	17	56%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.02	0.08	16	76%	0.20	7	-0.21	2	100%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.08	0.04	19	52%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	9	44%	-0.10	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Bob Sura	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	11	36%	-0.13	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.08	0.06	21	67%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.02	9	55%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	3	44%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	30%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	22	52%	-0.04	6	-0.15	17	94%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	27.5	15.5	29.6	2.6	32.2	137.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +8.0%

PHX +14.8%

PHX +10.3%

PHX +17.5%

GSW -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	13.7	14.9	15.5	105.9	116.0	101.6
season	14.6	15.0		105.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		100.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.0	14.2	13.5	11.5	13.7
PHX	13.3	17.7	14.2	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-9	9	17.7	13.2	4.48	17.5	14.6	2.90
Erick Dampier	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-5	1	13.9	13.7	0.26	13.5	15.3	-1.76
Mike Dunleavy	23	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-12	15	11.1	14.5	-3.41	14.7	15.0	-0.36
Adonal Foyle	44	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-8	7	14.0	13.5	0.41	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	78	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-13	17	12.7	17.0	-4.30	15.3	13.8	1.49
Bob Sura	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-11	13	14.0	13.4	0.57	15.6	14.2	1.43
Earl Boykins	23	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	4	-17	17.0	12.7	4.30	13.8	15.3	-1.49
Jason Richardson	84	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-2	-5	13.4	15.2	-1.75	15.2	13.7	1.49
Antawn Jamison	90	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	2	-13	14.1	10.6	3.46	15.0	14.8	0.11
Troy Murphy	79	78	-0.66	0.15	-0.81	-0.13	-18	9	-27	13.4	14.8	-1.40	14.2	17.5	-3.34

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	55	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	5	-1	15.0	14.9	0.13	14.1	13.2	0.94
Amar'e Stoudemire	60	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-8	25	14.2	16.0	-1.72	13.4	14.3	-0.95
Shawn Marion	91	91	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-1	11	14.8	16.7	-1.90	13.4	16.5	-3.08
Casey Jacobsen	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	5	-1	15.1	14.7	0.33	13.6	14.0	-0.44
Stephon Marbury	88	88	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	3	3	15.2	13.2	2.02	13.5	15.3	-1.82
Randy Brown	21	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	7	-5	14.7	15.0	-0.35	15.5	13.2	2.27
Alton Ford	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	5	-1	14.5	15.0	-0.50	13.5	13.8	-0.25
Jake Voskuhl	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	11	-13	14.4	15.2	-0.74	13.7	13.7	0.04
Scott Williams	19	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	7	-5	14.5	15.0	-0.58	14.7	13.5	1.28
Joe Johnson	60	59	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.10	-2	11	-13	15.9	13.4	2.53	13.7	13.7	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 83, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	93.7%
SAC 117, ATL 123	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	93.6%
SAC 88, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.0%