NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	7.6 [257]		MVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): +14.8%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	3.1 [280]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -20.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.13	-0.03	0.16	-0.00	5	40%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.05	0.00	11	64%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	19	46%	0.02	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.12
Ivan Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.01	7	62%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.09
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,-0.2	0.06	-0.26	0.00	12	62%	-0.14	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	11	76%	0.15	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.04,-0.05,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.01	14	57%	0.22	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	7	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	7	20%	-0.09	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.16	-0.00	14	67%	0.14	6	-0.32	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	26.6	18.4	26.9	2.0	32.7	133.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +62.0%

ATL -3.1%

DET +33.0%

ATL -42.3%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	17.8	17.3	15.6	102.4	106.2	102.8
season	15.7	16.3		102.5	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		104.4	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.3	16.9	19.8	17.3	17.8
DET	17.0	18.3	15.2	18.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	14	13	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.02	1	-2	3	18.2	17.8	0.46	19.7	16.8	2.87
Vladimir Radmanovic	8	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	2	-5	21.6	17.4	4.20	18.1	17.2	0.94
Josh Smith	62	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.42	11	-12	23	17.5	18.9	-1.37	17.6	16.2	1.40
Jeff Teague	54	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.38	9	-10	19	16.5	20.4	-3.92	18.4	15.2	3.22
Jannero Pargo	19	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	5	-11	20.1	17.2	2.95	15.9	17.7	-1.79
Joe Johnson	62	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-8	15	16.9	20.7	-3.80	17.9	15.6	2.31
Marvin Williams	61	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.50	8	-9	17	16.8	20.7	-3.94	17.9	15.4	2.43
Zaza Pachulia	26	25	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	4	-9	18.2	17.7	0.53	16.7	17.5	-0.82
Kirk Hinrich	29	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	9	-19	20.4	16.5	3.92	15.2	18.4	-3.22
Ivan Johnson	52	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-1	1	17.4	18.5	-1.04	17.0	17.7	-0.69
Tracy McGrady	28	27	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.03	-17	16	-33	20.6	16.4	4.14	14.4	18.7	-4.26

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	27	28	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.55	4	-3	7	15.8	18.0	-2.20	19.8	16.8	2.95
Greg Monroe	60	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-5	11	17.2	17.6	-0.39	17.3	19.3	-2.00
Jason Maxiell	49	51	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.28	2	-1	3	17.5	16.9	0.62	17.4	18.5	-1.04
Ben Gordon	40	40	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	-1	3	17.0	17.5	-0.46	18.8	16.9	1.97
Rodney Stuckey	63	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	6	-11	17.7	15.9	1.79	17.0	20.8	-3.83
Tayshaun Prince	54	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	4	-7	18.0	15.8	2.20	16.8	19.8	-2.95
Jonas Jerebko	32	32	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	2	-3	16.9	17.5	-0.62	18.5	17.4	1.04
Brandon Knight	59	61	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	-4	9	17.0	18.0	-0.98	18.0	17.2	0.82
Ben Wallace	21	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	6	-11	17.6	17.2	0.39	19.3	17.3	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.98,1	91.5%
BOS 102, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	91.4%
DET 81, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	91.1%