NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	5.3 [600]		MVP	Louis Williams (PHI): +14.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	1.8 [760]		LVP	Josh Howard (UTA): -13.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	81%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	10	33%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	14	47%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	12%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	10	70%	0.18	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	43%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.03	17	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	70%	0.09	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.04	12	62%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.03	-0.05	13	31%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	26.3	15.8	27.3	2.7	28.2	126.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.0%

PHI +1.2%

PHI +3.9%

UTA -1.8%

UTA -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	15.6	95.8	110.6	102.8
season	15.8	15.6		104.0	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.1		97.6	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.9	16.1	16.1	14.4	16.1
PHI	14.2	14.5	13.2	15.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	15.6	16.1	-0.51	12.7	14.5	-1.77
Alec Burks	19	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-12	11	15.1	16.4	-1.30	16.6	13.8	2.77
CJ Miles	41	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-12	11	15.0	16.9	-1.88	13.7	14.9	-1.21
Al Jefferson	62	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-8	3	16.7	15.0	1.63	14.9	13.3	1.56
Devin Harris	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-8	3	16.3	15.8	0.55	14.5	14.1	0.42
Gordon Hayward	58	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-11	9	15.0	17.8	-2.81	15.0	13.5	1.43
Paul Millsap	57	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-7	1	16.4	15.7	0.68	14.7	13.8	0.89
Derrick Favors	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	16.2	16.0	0.15	13.9	14.7	-0.75
Josh Howard	39	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	18.1	14.7	3.36	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Earl Watson	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-5	-3	15.8	16.3	-0.55	14.1	14.5	-0.42
Jeremy Evans	25	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	14.1	16.8	-2.73	13.4	14.7	-1.27
Raja Bell	33	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	0	-13	17.6	15.3	2.32	13.5	14.8	-1.32

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.05	21	-8	29	14.3	14.5	-0.13	15.8	16.7	-0.86
Louis Williams	50	50	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-5	23	13.5	15.4	-1.95	16.7	15.5	1.19
Jrue Holiday	62	66	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	7	-1	14.5	14.1	0.42	15.3	17.9	-2.54
Andre Iguodala	71	70	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	2	9	14.1	15.2	-1.06	16.4	15.2	1.21
Nikola Vucevic	36	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	-2	17	13.2	15.1	-1.95	16.7	15.7	1.03
Evan Turner	84	84	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	11	-9	15.2	7.8	7.35	15.9	17.4	-1.44
Elton Brand	62	64	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	16	-19	15.0	13.2	1.80	16.0	16.4	-0.43
Jodie Meeks	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	11	-9	13.7	14.5	-0.84	17.1	15.9	1.15
Tony Battie	22	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	18	-23	14.6	14.3	0.29	16.5	16.0	0.56
Lavoy Allen	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	15	-17	16.0	14.3	1.66	13.0	16.2	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, DET 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
DAL 89, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	95.0%
IND 77, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%