NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	8.0 [201]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +12.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	3.6 [224]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -22.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	80%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Jodie Meeks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.01	10	65%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.28,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.02	17	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	15	73%	0.07
Lavoy Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	8	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	15	44%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	6	37%	-0.01	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Evan Turner	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.19	-0.02	-0.01	12	8%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.11	0.02	13	31%	-0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.12	0.00	8	37%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.00	21	50%	0.14	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	23	61%	0.15	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	11	42%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Carlos Delfino	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	24.5	16.3	23.4	2.4	36.5	134.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +69.3%

PHI -10.0%

PHI -13.8%

MIL +1.1%

MIL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	13.5	15.6	95.9	101.0	102.8
season	15.6	14.6		101.0	103.8
opponent	15.6	16.1		103.4	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	17.9	17.2	17.9	16.3
MIL	12.1	15.5	12.8	14.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	59	60	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.13	12	-16	28	15.6	17.4	-1.74	13.9	12.9	1.06
Lavoy Allen	16	14	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-7	10	15.4	16.5	-1.12	13.4	13.5	-0.11
Evan Turner	64	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	1	-6	16.8	15.3	1.53	13.6	13.4	0.12
Jrue Holiday	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-3	2	15.7	18.0	-2.34	13.4	13.9	-0.56
Thaddeus Young	73	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-7	10	16.1	16.9	-0.75	13.5	13.6	-0.16
Andre Iguodala	79	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	15.6	19.2	-3.58	13.4	13.9	-0.44
Jodie Meeks	35	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	0	-4	17.6	15.6	1.97	13.3	13.6	-0.30
Louis Williams	57	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	0	-4	16.4	16.2	0.23	13.8	13.1	0.65
Nikola Vucevic	32	34	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.04	-21	17	-38	18.9	15.0	3.92	13.1	13.7	-0.62

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	46	45	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-5	14	14.4	12.7	1.63	17.9	14.9	2.99
Ersan Ilyasova	86	87	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-3	10	13.4	14.9	-1.54	15.9	19.7	-3.78
Brandon Jennings	85	86	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	13.4	14.6	-1.26	15.9	19.6	-3.75
Mike Dunleavy	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.54	-5	9	-14	13.5	13.6	-0.09	16.2	16.5	-0.26
Drew Gooden	73	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	-5	14	13.9	12.3	1.60	15.9	17.9	-2.01
Carlos Delfino	44	44	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	4	-4	12.4	14.5	-2.09	15.9	16.6	-0.73
Tobias Harris	29	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	0	4	13.0	13.7	-0.70	17.7	15.7	1.97
Larry Sanders	21	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	9	-14	13.4	13.5	-0.12	17.9	15.9	2.01
Shaun Livingston	29	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	8	-12	14.4	13.1	1.33	15.7	16.6	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 108, UTA 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.98,1	91.5%
NOP 114, HOU 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.7,0.63,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,0.98,1	90.9%
PHX 96, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.73,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,1	90.8%