NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	7.5 [265]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +22.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	3.1 [463]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -24.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.22	0.14	0.12	0.04	23	64%	0.34	3	-0.11	9	78%	0.01
CJ Watson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	0.00	6	75%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	12	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	11	36%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Joakim Noah	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.24	-0.06	-0.17	0.02	10	46%	0.01	3	-0.25	4	75%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.18,0.23,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	13	52%	0.13	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	18	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.15	-0.00	15	44%	-0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	3.4	32.5	18.7	25.3	3.5	41.2	146.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +98.6%

PHI -10.0%

CHI +1.8%

PHI -45.8%

CHI +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.6	103.2	96.8	102.8
season	16.0	15.6		104.7	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.9		97.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.3	15.0	15.3	14.5	15.2
PHI	16.4	17.0	18.1	11.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	81	81	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-6	17	15.5	13.3	2.19	15.3	17.2	-1.93
Luol Deng	85	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-4	13	15.4	13.1	2.31	15.1	20.9	-5.81
Joakim Noah	72	74	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	1	3	15.3	14.9	0.43	15.8	14.6	1.16
CJ Watson	42	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	4	-3	14.9	15.5	-0.65	14.0	16.8	-2.78
Richard Hamilton	33	33	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-4	13	15.6	15.0	0.53	18.8	13.8	4.92
Omer Asik	21	20	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	4	-3	14.9	15.3	-0.43	14.6	15.8	-1.16
Carlos Boozer	54	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	-2	9	15.3	15.1	0.23	17.0	13.3	3.66
Taj Gibson	37	35	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.34	-5	10	-15	15.6	15.0	0.55	13.6	16.7	-3.08
Kyle Korver	9	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	4	-3	13.3	15.4	-2.11	16.0	15.5	0.49
Ronnie Brewer	31	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.22	-13	18	-31	14.1	15.8	-1.76	15.7	15.5	0.25

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	0	-5	19.1	14.5	4.60	16.7	14.8	1.89
Nikola Vucevic	43	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-7	9	16.9	14.5	2.43	14.3	15.9	-1.60
Jodie Meeks	29	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	1	-7	17.4	14.8	2.63	15.6	15.1	0.58
Louis Williams	58	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-10	15	13.3	19.2	-5.84	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Evan Turner	45	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	1	-7	16.4	14.8	1.56	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Elton Brand	62	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.25	-5	0	-5	16.0	14.7	1.33	15.9	13.9	2.02
Thaddeus Young	58	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-4	3	13.3	19.1	-5.79	15.1	15.4	-0.34
Andre Iguodala	77	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	1	-7	15.2	17.1	-1.90	15.8	12.7	3.08
Jrue Holiday	76	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	16.0	13.7	2.28	15.2	15.3	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.25,0.17,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.16,0.06,0.01,0	92.5%
NYK 94, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.66,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0	92.0%
PHI 104, POR 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.0%