NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	7.0 [395]		MVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): +18.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	4.1 [182]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -25.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.14	0.01	13	67%	0.28	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	16	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	58%	0.14	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	6	57%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	14	60%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	14	57%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	8	39%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.19	-0.09	-0.02	22	27%	-0.18	2	-0.08	8	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	27.1	15.8	27.6	2.0	30.2	131.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +68.8%

PHI -0.6%

PHI -28.7%

NYK +10.3%

NYK +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.3	104.4	94.4	106.0
season	14.7	15.1		105.9	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		108.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.4	16.6	14.8	18.0	16.5
PHI	17.0	15.4	18.8	12.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	63	64	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.12	26	-16	42	16.1	17.3	-1.22	15.8	15.4	0.41
Wilson Chandler	72	72	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.11	20	-10	30	16.4	16.7	-0.24	16.5	12.2	4.28
Toney Douglas	68	66	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.08	15	-5	20	16.2	17.3	-1.05	16.6	13.1	3.52
Danilo Gallinari	76	75	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-2	14	16.5	16.5	-0.03	16.2	13.2	2.95
Al Harrington	60	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.33	-2	12	-14	16.8	15.7	1.12	14.1	18.7	-4.57
Tracy McGrady	45	45	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	5	0	16.3	16.7	-0.38	18.4	12.9	5.47
Eddie House	22	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	18	-26	16.9	16.3	0.57	12.8	16.7	-3.88
Sergio Rodriguez	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	16	-22	17.9	16.3	1.66	13.0	16.1	-3.12
Henry Walker	32	31	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.15	-12	22	-34	16.6	16.4	0.18	12.7	17.3	-4.63

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	16	18	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.07	9	-19	28	11.6	16.6	-5.04	16.3	16.5	-0.18
Jason Kapono	47	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-13	16	15.1	16.4	-1.30	16.0	17.2	-1.19
Rodney Carney	9	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-9	8	14.9	15.8	-0.90	15.0	16.7	-1.66
Thaddeus Young	61	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-9	8	15.8	15.5	0.34	17.4	14.8	2.58
Willie Green	65	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-14	18	14.4	19.3	-4.98	16.8	15.5	1.28
Jrue Holiday	75	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-2	-6	15.9	14.5	1.42	16.8	14.7	2.09
Elton Brand	41	41	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	3	-16	16.3	15.1	1.20	16.5	16.5	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	61	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.03	-21	11	-32	17.6	11.5	6.12	16.0	17.5	-1.49
Andre Iguodala	78	79	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.12	-20	10	-30	16.2	12.3	3.91	16.4	17.0	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.66,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.16,0.06,0.01,0	92.2%
PHI 104, POR 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.0%
CHI 96, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.25,0.17,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.16,0	92.0%