NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	107		Excitement	5.0 [645]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +9.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	115		Comeback	1.3 [967]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -12.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.01	0.05	11	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmer Fredette	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	8	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	16	31%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	13	63%	0.12	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	24	61%	0.16	3	-0.07	14	79%	0.02
Andrew Goudelock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.05	0.03	11	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.4	16.4	26.8	2.6	31.3	133.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +55.3%

LAL +5.2%

LAL +1.9%

SAC -17.0%

LAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.5	15.6	109.2	115.0	102.8
season	14.9	16.2		102.2	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	14.8	16.1	13.6	14.6
LAL	14.2	14.0	12.7	17.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	41	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-14	20	14.4	14.8	-0.42	16.1	13.3	2.78
Francisco Garcia	46	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.31	8	-16	24	14.5	14.8	-0.33	14.7	14.3	0.38
Charles Hayes	49	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-11	14	14.3	15.0	-0.73	14.9	14.0	0.84
John Salmons	48	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-11	14	14.9	14.4	0.47	14.8	14.2	0.60
Jason Thompson	36	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	14.7	14.6	0.14	14.0	14.7	-0.73
Donte Greene	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	14.9	14.1	0.85	15.0	13.5	1.46
Tyreke Evans	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	3	-14	14.4	14.9	-0.47	14.2	14.8	-0.60
DeMarcus Cousins	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	4	-16	14.8	14.5	0.36	14.4	14.5	-0.07
Marcus Thornton	52	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	8	-24	14.8	14.5	0.33	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Isaiah Thomas	59	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	3	-14	14.6	14.7	-0.14	12.8	17.2	-4.39

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	80	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-5	18	13.5	18.3	-4.86	14.4	15.7	-1.37
Metta World Peace	71	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-1	10	13.4	17.1	-3.67	14.2	15.6	-1.36
Derek Fisher	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-4	16	14.0	15.2	-1.15	14.1	15.7	-1.64
Andrew Bynum	82	79	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-2	12	15.3	10.6	4.76	15.2	12.3	2.94
Pau Gasol	79	78	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	2	4	13.8	17.1	-3.34	14.1	16.9	-2.85
Troy Murphy	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	5	-2	15.1	14.1	0.93	15.3	14.2	1.06
Matt Barnes	33	31	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	12	-16	15.2	14.1	1.12	14.7	14.6	0.16
Steve Blake	36	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	12	-16	15.2	14.0	1.15	15.7	14.1	1.64
Andrew Goudelock	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	13	-18	19.3	13.3	5.99	15.7	14.4	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.83,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,1	95.2%
IND 85, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1	95.1%
DET 81, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.0%