inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 72 Excitement4.0 [811] MVPRichard Jefferson (SAS): +14.0%
San Antonio Spurs 102 Comeback1.4 [662] LVPDeJuan Blair (SAS): -12.7%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Boris Diaw0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.000.011070%0.081-0.0200%0.00
DJ White0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.01667%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Byron Mullens0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.07425%0.0020.0000%0.00
Derrick Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.03546%0.022-0.02367%-0.01
Matt Carroll0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Reggie Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.002100%0.043-0.0600%0.00
Kemba Walker-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.041135%-0.023-0.0310%0.00
Gerald Henderson-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.021233%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Corey Maggette-0.060,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.040.021247%-0.041-0.02683%0.01
Eduardo Najera-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.0030%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
D.J. Augustin-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.13-0.00-0.01911%-0.101-0.0200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.02-0.00878%0.1400.002100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.150.020.047100%0.1300.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.02850%0.0500.00250%-0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0310%0.0000.0020%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.03850%0.033-0.04250%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.04562%0.001-0.016100%0.01
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.02387%0.003-0.03250%-0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.021738%-0.021-0.02367%-0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.001162%0.085-0.14250%-0.01
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.16-0.02-0.05825%-0.045-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.027.115.523.32.328.7122.6
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +43.9%
SAS +3.9%
SAS +8.3%
CHA -7.6%
SAS +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHASASNBACHASASNBA
this game15.614.615.675.0107.4102.8
season16.315.394.1109.1
opponent15.215.0101.5108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA15.015.116.216.115.6
SAS12.114.916.515.214.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Carroll11110.00-0.500.500.18-6-241815.715.50.1914.514.6-0.05
Derrick Brown3838-0.00-0.500.500.35-12-18616.015.30.6815.613.91.61
Reggie Williams2827-0.01-0.490.470.22-8-221415.315.7-0.3416.114.02.18
Tyrus Thomas89-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-303016.015.50.4816.014.41.56
Byron Mullens2424-0.09-0.410.320.26-12-18614.515.9-1.4215.014.50.49
DJ White3535-0.11-0.390.290.42-18-12-615.315.7-0.3914.314.7-0.39
Kemba Walker4747-0.13-0.370.240.34-16-14-215.615.50.0715.014.10.90
DeSagana Diop3132-0.19-0.310.13-0.01-6-241816.315.21.1213.715.0-1.31
Eduardo Najera4139-0.22-0.280.060.13-12-18615.615.50.0815.114.20.83
Boris Diaw5351-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.01-12-18615.715.40.2214.514.7-0.17
D.J. Augustin4948-0.37-0.13-0.240.04-14-16215.515.6-0.0714.115.0-0.90
Gerald Henderson5757-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.02-16-14-215.615.40.2113.915.7-1.82
Corey Maggette5857-0.50-0.00-0.500.03-18-12-615.316.0-0.6813.915.6-1.61

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Neal44470.55-0.050.59-0.302912815.014.30.7215.915.30.57
Richard Jefferson58580.480.020.450.011614214.115.3-1.2015.316.0-0.68
Tony Parker59600.370.130.250.051119-813.915.7-1.7315.715.30.37
Matt Bonner38400.250.250.00-0.191515015.114.20.8615.015.9-0.92
Tiago Splitter40410.250.250.00-0.191515015.513.91.6215.415.7-0.26
Tim Duncan47470.250.25-0.000.04723-1613.915.3-1.3815.715.40.36
DeJuan Blair57560.250.25-0.00-0.191515014.215.1-0.8615.915.00.92
T.J. Ford32300.090.41-0.32-0.261218-616.213.82.3615.215.7-0.53
James Anderson21210.060.44-0.38-0.351416-213.015.1-2.1015.215.7-0.48
Kawhi Leonard31320.020.48-0.46-0.271020-1015.714.01.6615.715.50.23
Cory Joseph14140.000.50-0.49-0.351218-613.714.7-1.0316.115.50.68
Danny Green3434-0.070.57-0.640.11-636-4214.814.50.2715.515.6-0.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 67, NYK 790.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.5%
NYK 82, CHI 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.5%
GSW 85, ORL 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%