NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	95		Excitement	8.2 [176]		MVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): +21.1%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	8.2 [279]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -23.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	12	67%	0.17	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.08	-0.02	7	43%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gustavo Ayon	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.12,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Xavier Henry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0,-0.11	-0.00	-0.13	-0.03	9	56%	-0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	18	42%	0.02	4	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.02	24	54%	0.25	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.08
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.06	0.03	12	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	16	41%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	45%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.01	-0.22	0.00	14	50%	-0.09	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	29.6	16.3	23.4	2.4	34.4	131.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +22.1%

CHI +0.9%

CHI +18.9%

CHI +12.0%

NOH -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHI	NBA	NOH	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.6	99.0	103.1	102.8
season	16.3	16.0		99.2	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.7		97.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.9	16.4	17.7	13.5	15.9
CHI	13.5	12.9	13.7	16.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	35	37	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.14	9	-13	22	16.0	15.8	0.23	14.9	13.7	1.26
Lance Thomas	18	19	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-9	14	14.2	16.2	-2.01	15.3	13.9	1.46
Al-Farouq Aminu	35	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-13	22	15.7	16.0	-0.27	14.9	13.6	1.28
Jarrett Jack	54	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.41	10	-14	24	15.4	16.5	-1.15	15.1	12.7	2.39
Gustavo Ayon	53	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	1	-6	16.6	15.0	1.63	14.4	13.9	0.48
Solomon Jones	40	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-3	2	16.4	15.4	0.98	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Chris Kaman	79	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	1	-6	15.8	16.0	-0.18	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Marco Belinelli	52	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	12	-28	15.3	16.5	-1.23	13.3	15.0	-1.63
Trevor Ariza	69	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	6	-16	16.0	15.6	0.36	13.7	15.2	-1.57
Greivis Vasquez	45	43	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.12	-16	12	-28	16.3	15.5	0.86	12.7	15.3	-2.62

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	38	36	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.83	0	4	-4	14.2	14.1	0.06	14.9	16.4	-1.59
Derrick Rose	81	81	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.35	16	-12	28	14.0	15.1	-1.09	16.0	14.8	1.25
Joakim Noah	78	78	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-7	18	13.8	15.5	-1.67	16.0	15.3	0.64
Luol Deng	84	84	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-6	16	14.1	14.5	-0.40	15.6	17.3	-1.69
Ronnie Brewer	34	33	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.66	-4	8	-12	13.7	14.4	-0.73	16.1	15.7	0.31
Richard Hamilton	33	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	-7	18	13.8	14.3	-0.50	16.7	15.4	1.36
Omer Asik	18	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	11	-18	15.5	13.8	1.67	15.3	16.0	-0.64
CJ Watson	15	15	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.04	-12	16	-28	15.1	14.0	1.09	14.8	16.0	-1.25
Carlos Boozer	58	60	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.45	4	0	4	14.1	14.2	-0.06	16.4	14.9	1.59
Kyle Korver	41	41	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.13	-9	13	-22	14.9	13.6	1.32	15.4	16.2	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.71,0.71,0.93,0.93,0.63,0.33,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.85,0.63,0.33,0.58,1	89.8%
ATL 98, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.81,0.71,0.55,0.73,1	89.5%
LAC 102, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.55,0.58,1	89.4%