NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	89		Excitement	8.0 [200]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (NOH): +11.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	1.0 [394]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -29.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	13	68%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.02	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.06	7	86%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Lance Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	7%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.24	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.15	-0.01	25	41%	-0.05	4	-0.19	1	100%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.08	-0.15	0.02	11	54%	-0.02	6	-0.23	2	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	5	79%	0.10	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Semih Erden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	8	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	25%	-0.08
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	13	42%	-0.04	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	22	43%	-0.00	2	-0.10	7	57%	-0.04
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	5	0%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.07	0.02	9	30%	-0.14	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.37,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.13	0.01	13	21%	-0.23	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	29.2	14.6	30.1	1.7	39.3	139.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +50.9%

CLE -5.3%

NOH +16.1%

CLE -15.1%

NOH +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CLE	NBA	NOH	CLE	NBA
this game	17.6	15.0	15.6	102.3	93.3	102.8
season	16.3	15.5		99.2	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.7		107.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.2	16.9	22.3	15.0	17.6
CLE	14.1	15.1	15.9	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	59	62	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.35	20	-15	35	16.9	19.0	-2.10	15.6	13.7	1.83
Gustavo Ayon	60	62	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.36	18	-13	31	16.6	19.7	-3.09	16.0	12.7	3.33
Chris Kaman	63	65	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.41	16	-11	27	17.0	19.0	-1.91	15.4	14.0	1.40
Greivis Vasquez	71	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	16.7	21.4	-4.66	15.3	13.7	1.61
Jarrett Jack	56	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.37	-2	7	-9	17.6	17.5	0.04	13.9	17.0	-3.13
Trevor Ariza	36	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	2	1	17.5	17.6	-0.08	16.6	13.9	2.67
Xavier Henry	21	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	12	-19	19.5	17.0	2.51	13.6	15.4	-1.88
Lance Thomas	17	19	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	13	-21	21.2	16.7	4.55	12.1	15.8	-3.68
Al-Farouq Aminu	28	29	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.05	-9	14	-23	19.6	16.6	3.00	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Solomon Jones	24	25	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.05	-11	16	-27	19.0	17.0	1.91	14.0	15.4	-1.40

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Harangody	13	11	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.06	6	-11	17	16.5	14.8	1.70	16.5	17.7	-1.28
Ramon Sessions	48	45	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.14	8	-13	21	14.2	16.0	-1.76	18.3	16.8	1.43
Tristan Thompson	31	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-10	15	13.7	15.7	-1.99	15.9	18.5	-2.56
Alonzo Gee	55	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.36	11	-16	27	13.8	16.9	-3.02	17.3	18.0	-0.73
Semih Erden	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	0	-5	14.2	15.2	-0.93	15.4	18.1	-2.62
Kyrie Irving	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.31	1	-6	7	15.6	12.9	2.71	16.7	21.0	-4.32
Ryan Hollins	53	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-3	1	15.7	14.0	1.76	19.1	15.6	3.50
Omri Casspi	35	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	11	-27	16.9	13.8	3.02	18.0	17.3	0.73
Antawn Jamison	67	68	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.39	-14	9	-23	14.9	15.2	-0.28	17.9	16.4	1.48
Daniel Gibson	62	60	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.26	-19	14	-33	15.0	15.1	-0.14	18.1	16.4	1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 109, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.02,0	93.1%
UTA 109, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.9%
ORL 97, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.33,0.08,0	92.7%