NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	8.2 [172]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +26.0%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	5.1 [277]		LVP	Josh Howard (UTA): -16.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.21	0.05	0.01	8	105%	0.28	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	14	59%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.06
Richard Jefferson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1	-0.00	0.09	-0.01	6	42%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.03	16	55%	0.08	3	-0.13	10	90%	0.04
Gary Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.08,-0.01,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	13	47%	0.11	3	-0.16	4	75%	0.02
DeJuan Blair	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	11	56%	0.08	4	-0.19	5	20%	-0.05
Danny Green	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	8	88%	0.18	4	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	19	51%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	3	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	17	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	0.05	7	50%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.04	-0.19	0.01	8	60%	-0.05	1	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	26.0	15.7	29.4	1.7	36.1	132.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.0%

SAS +19.5%

UTA -17.1%

SAS +3.3%

SAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.6	109.3	103.0	102.8
season	15.3	15.8		109.1	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		104.7	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	15.7	14.5	14.2	14.8
UTA	15.1	16.3	12.7	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	60	59	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.39	12	-8	20	14.7	14.9	-0.21	13.8	15.7	-1.93
Matt Bonner	61	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-9	22	15.2	14.2	1.03	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Tony Parker	77	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	0	4	15.0	14.2	0.77	14.4	15.0	-0.60
Tim Duncan	75	77	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-4	12	15.1	13.7	1.46	14.8	13.9	0.86
Richard Jefferson	41	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	7	-10	14.9	14.8	0.11	15.2	14.1	1.14
Kawhi Leonard	60	61	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-1	6	14.6	15.1	-0.47	14.6	14.5	0.12
James Anderson	16	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	4	-4	13.1	15.1	-2.02	15.4	14.4	0.94
Cory Joseph	7	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	0	4	12.9	15.0	-2.11	15.7	14.5	1.28
DeJuan Blair	56	58	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	13	-22	14.4	15.4	-0.96	14.7	14.4	0.28
Danny Green	32	35	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	0.01	-14	18	-32	15.3	14.6	0.74	14.3	14.7	-0.40

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	48	47	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-5	6	15.0	14.2	0.86	13.3	16.2	-2.86
Enes Kanter	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-2	0	14.0	14.7	-0.75	12.4	15.5	-3.17
Alec Burks	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	0	-4	15.0	14.3	0.66	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Earl Watson	38	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	7	-18	15.8	13.8	2.06	13.1	15.8	-2.75
Derrick Favors	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	1	-6	14.5	14.6	-0.15	13.1	15.5	-2.41
Paul Millsap	73	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.32	1	-5	6	14.6	14.5	0.15	15.5	13.1	2.41
Devin Harris	61	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-10	16	13.8	15.8	-2.06	15.8	13.1	2.75
Josh Howard	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-4	4	14.0	15.5	-1.51	15.8	13.3	2.52
Al Jefferson	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-3	2	14.7	14.0	0.75	15.5	12.4	3.17
Gordon Hayward	56	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	1	-6	14.6	14.6	-0.01	16.0	13.3	2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.6,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 86, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.09,0.02,0	91.5%
MIA 99, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	91.4%
WAS 99, GSW 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.21,0.22,0.1,0	91.3%