NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	108		Excitement	8.3 [171]		MVP	Brandon Knight (DET): +34.8%
Detroit Pistons	114		Comeback	4.7 [300]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -14.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	19	58%	0.18	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.05
Jimmer Fredette	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Isaiah Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	6	81%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	52%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.02	17	60%	0.10	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Tyreke Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,-0.03,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	18	44%	0.11	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.09	0.24	-0.02	21	53%	0.35	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.3,0.35	0.35	0.23	0.13	0.01	20	69%	0.36	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.07
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	6	69%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	19	55%	0.13	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.00	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	7	19%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.3	26.5	17.4	23.4	2.5	33.3	133.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +14.7%

DET +11.2%

DET +24.6%

SAC -3.4%

DET +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	15.3	15.6	109.1	115.2	102.8
season	14.9	16.3		102.2	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.8	13.7	15.1	14.9	13.8
DET	14.9	15.1	14.9	16.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	52	49	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-7	8	13.8	13.8	0.04	14.7	15.9	-1.17
JJ Hickson	18	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-6	6	13.2	13.9	-0.76	13.9	15.6	-1.70
Charles Hayes	45	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-4	2	14.7	13.0	1.65	15.0	15.5	-0.46
Jimmer Fredette	38	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	2	-10	14.0	13.7	0.30	15.5	15.2	0.33
Travis Outlaw	8	11	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	12.5	13.9	-1.40	15.5	15.3	0.27
DeMarcus Cousins	64	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-2	-2	14.0	13.5	0.47	15.5	14.9	0.65
Jason Thompson	62	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-7	8	13.5	14.3	-0.86	15.8	14.4	1.39
Marcus Thornton	81	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-4	2	13.5	14.9	-1.35	15.1	16.4	-1.34
Tyreke Evans	81	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	13.7	14.3	-0.60	15.8	12.9	2.90
John Salmons	46	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	1	-8	14.0	13.6	0.44	15.0	15.6	-0.59

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	44	43	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-3	12	15.0	15.5	-0.50	14.2	13.5	0.66
Rodney Stuckey	82	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-5	16	15.1	16.1	-0.91	13.8	13.7	0.14
Tayshaun Prince	76	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	2	2	15.4	15.1	0.28	13.7	14.0	-0.23
Brandon Knight	79	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	5	-4	15.9	12.7	3.20	13.8	13.8	-0.04
Greg Monroe	66	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	6	-6	16.1	13.7	2.45	13.5	14.4	-0.95
Ben Gordon	44	44	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	4	-2	14.8	15.7	-0.83	14.1	13.5	0.59
Jonas Jerebko	41	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	3	0	14.1	16.2	-2.10	14.2	13.5	0.78
Damien Wilkins	17	20	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	4	-2	13.1	15.8	-2.71	12.6	14.1	-1.49
Jason Maxiell	46	45	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	8	-10	15.8	14.8	0.98	13.8	13.8	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 74, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.91,1	91.5%
BOS 75, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.99,1	91.2%
MIN 97, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	90.7%