NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	82		Excitement	6.1 [466]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +22.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	75		Comeback	7.0 [98]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -17.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.00	22	56%	0.23	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Yi Jianlian	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	48%	0.05	4	-0.12	5	80%	-0.00
Dominique Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	9	57%	0.08	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	13	23%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	8	89%	0.19	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	15	34%	-0.04	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	18%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	9	42%	-0.07	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	9	14%	-0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.8	33.3	17.7	26.6	2.8	34.2	140.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.5%

DAL +11.9%

DAL +4.7%

PHI -13.7%

DAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.6	91.1	82.4	102.8
season	15.5	15.6		101.6	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.5		97.6	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.8	16.3	14.1	16.9	16.4
PHI	16.4	13.7	18.0	13.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	53	54	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.16	28	-21	49	16.7	16.1	0.55	16.7	13.5	3.13
Dirk Nowitzki	71	73	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.22	18	-11	29	15.8	18.8	-3.05	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Shawn Marion	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	4	-1	16.3	16.9	-0.66	15.5	14.8	0.70
Brendan Haywood	31	31	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-8	23	16.4	16.5	-0.12	17.8	14.2	3.61
Lamar Odom	51	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	11	-15	16.3	16.7	-0.41	15.4	15.4	0.03
Vince Carter	68	69	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	3	1	17.2	14.0	3.28	14.9	16.8	-1.88
Brandan Wright	47	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.43	-9	16	-25	16.3	16.6	-0.37	13.9	17.1	-3.17
Yi Jianlian	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	5	-3	17.5	16.4	1.12	16.2	15.4	0.89
Ian Mahinmi	12	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	17.3	16.3	1.04	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Dominique Jones	43	43	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.16	-21	28	-49	16.3	16.6	-0.25	14.4	16.3	-1.90

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	40	38	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-15	23	13.8	16.6	-2.85	15.3	17.3	-1.98
Evan Turner	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-11	15	15.9	15.0	0.90	15.7	17.1	-1.35
Jodie Meeks	29	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	1	-9	15.4	15.4	0.08	17.6	15.9	1.70
Louis Williams	64	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.43	9	-16	25	14.4	17.7	-3.33	16.3	16.9	-0.60
Lavoy Allen	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	4	-15	17.4	14.1	3.26	17.3	15.9	1.35
Thaddeus Young	49	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-12	17	14.7	16.2	-1.56	16.3	16.7	-0.41
Andre Iguodala	79	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	15.7	13.7	1.99	16.3	17.4	-1.06
Elton Brand	58	56	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.12	-18	11	-29	15.9	14.5	1.38	16.9	15.7	1.12
Jrue Holiday	59	58	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.12	-19	12	-31	15.7	14.7	1.00	16.8	15.8	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.47,0.42,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.02,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 113, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
MIN 111, DAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.24,0.27,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.2%
NJN 101, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.01,0	92.0%