NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	89		Excitement	7.6 [255]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +20.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	84		Comeback	3.5 [276]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -41.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.26,0.2	0.06	0.14	-0.01	14	66%	0.35	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.02
Tiago Splitter	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.01	7	82%	0.23	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	18	47%	0.03	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Neal	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	6	57%	-0.00	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	0.00	8	11%	-0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	56%	0.10	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.02	0.03	15	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	15	27%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.04
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.42	-0.42	-0.17	-0.23	0.01	26	35%	-0.31	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.3	34.0	15.8	27.3	1.7	39.1	140.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +59.0%

SAS +3.3%

SAS +17.7%

MEM -29.0%

MEM -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	15.6	15.6	95.7	90.3	102.8
season	15.3	15.6		109.1	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.2		100.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.7	16.4	15.7	15.5	15.3
MEM	18.4	14.9	14.3	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	70	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	1	3	15.5	14.9	0.60	15.9	14.7	1.20
Tim Duncan	63	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	1	3	15.3	15.4	-0.07	15.3	16.4	-1.02
James Anderson	14	13	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-4	13	16.9	15.0	1.89	16.8	15.5	1.31
Gary Neal	43	41	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	5	-5	15.9	14.9	1.00	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Danny Green	59	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	5	-5	15.9	14.4	1.53	14.8	17.1	-2.27
DeJuan Blair	32	34	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	-2	9	13.3	16.4	-3.11	16.1	15.4	0.79
Tiago Splitter	36	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	1	3	16.0	14.9	1.11	16.5	15.2	1.30
Matt Bonner	55	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.29	-5	10	-15	16.1	14.2	1.88	15.2	16.3	-1.11
Richard Jefferson	37	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	1	3	14.2	16.1	-1.88	17.0	14.7	2.34
Kawhi Leonard	56	57	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	7	-9	14.5	16.6	-2.11	15.2	16.4	-1.21

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Davis	24	26	0.49	-0.99	1.48	-0.10	20	-25	45	13.9	16.3	-2.39	17.6	14.4	3.18
Jeremy Pargo	18	20	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.07	7	-12	19	13.7	16.1	-2.38	17.0	14.9	2.14
O.J. Mayo	54	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.30	8	-13	21	14.6	17.0	-2.38	16.1	14.2	1.92
Marc Gasol	84	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-6	7	15.2	19.4	-4.21	15.4	15.0	0.36
Marreese Speights	30	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	11	-27	18.3	14.4	3.92	13.3	16.3	-2.94
Mike Conley	80	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	15.4	16.8	-1.40	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Rudy Gay	87	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	15.6	17.0	-1.45	15.5	13.7	1.74
Quincy Pondexter	40	40	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.06	-23	18	-41	18.4	13.5	4.92	13.6	16.6	-2.93
Dante Cunningham	48	47	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.42	-15	10	-25	15.6	15.7	-0.13	15.3	15.4	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.53,0.31,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 119, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.21,0.23,0.16,0	90.7%
ATL 112, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.24,0.04,0	90.6%
DAL 94, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.52,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.05,0	90.4%