NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	7.1 [321]		MVP	Rodrigue Beaubois (DAL): +21.9%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	1.9 [382]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -28.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.11	0.00	9	77%	0.26	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.06	0.00	5	92%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	73%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.02	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	17	58%	0.15	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0,0,0	-0.09	0.08	-0.01	14	33%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.13	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	6	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.02	0.04	11	61%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	16	44%	0.11	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	7	7%	-0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	0.04	-0.18	0.03	18	50%	-0.17	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.3	30.5	18.4	30.2	2.7	31.3	142.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +86.7%

UTA -13.2%

UTA -15.9%

UTA -16.6%

DAL +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.6	101.1	101.1	102.8
season	15.5	15.8		101.6	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.7	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	13.9	21.1	15.5	16.1
UTA	15.5	15.5	13.1	17.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	64	62	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-12	27	15.0	18.4	-3.42	17.0	11.7	5.25
Dirk Nowitzki	73	70	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-8	19	16.2	15.7	0.51	15.5	14.8	0.66
Brendan Haywood	56	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-2	7	15.6	16.8	-1.23	16.3	14.0	2.27
Jason Terry	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.43	-2	5	-7	16.0	16.3	-0.37	14.6	16.8	-2.15
Jason Kidd	67	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	3	-3	16.3	15.5	0.77	14.8	16.7	-1.91
Delonte West	29	28	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-6	15	16.4	15.9	0.51	17.4	14.4	2.99
Ian Mahinmi	37	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	5	-7	16.8	15.6	1.23	14.0	16.3	-2.27
Rodrigue Beaubois	37	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	9	-15	15.4	16.5	-1.10	15.3	15.4	-0.09
Brian Cardinal	3	4	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	9	-15	27.7	15.7	11.96	12.7	15.5	-2.74
Lamar Odom	39	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	12	-21	16.9	15.5	1.47	13.4	16.9	-3.50

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	20	21	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-3	3	13.9	15.8	-1.82	15.8	16.2	-0.43
CJ Miles	41	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-8	13	15.4	15.3	0.09	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Earl Watson	47	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-3	3	15.1	15.7	-0.63	16.3	15.9	0.45
Alec Burks	42	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-1	-1	15.3	15.4	-0.06	15.6	16.5	-0.96
Enes Kanter	25	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	7	-17	15.3	15.4	-0.06	15.4	16.4	-0.94
Al Jefferson	61	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-3	3	15.7	14.8	0.90	16.5	15.3	1.26
Raja Bell	48	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-2	1	15.4	15.3	0.06	16.5	15.6	0.96
Paul Millsap	74	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-4	5	15.5	14.6	0.90	16.3	15.3	0.98
Devin Harris	43	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	15.7	15.1	0.63	15.9	16.3	-0.45
Gordon Hayward	49	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	2	-7	15.3	15.4	-0.09	16.1	16.0	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.52,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 108, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.39,0.28,0.29,0.01,0	92.0%
LAL 101, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.02,0	91.8%
HOU 69, OKC 65	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.1,0	91.3%