inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 94 Excitement8.3 [169] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +48.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 101 Comeback5.6 [420] LVPO.J. Mayo (MEM): -25.6%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.130.040.021280%0.283-0.136100%0.06
Tony Allen0.090,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.090.010.07-0.001553%0.142-0.052100%0.03
Mike Conley0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.17,0.09-0.050.12-0.021438%0.171-0.081100%0.01
Rudy Gay-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.012052%0.073-0.094100%0.02
Marreese Speights-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.01450%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Quincy Pondexter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Dante Cunningham-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Hamed Haddadi-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0000%0.003-0.0600%0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26-0.15-0.13-0.021633%-0.163-0.10743%-0.07

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.16,0.480.480.130.380.032464%0.563-0.08887%0.04
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.360.180.190.011380%0.381-0.024100%0.03
Daequan Cook0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.04-0.02736%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.03
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.000.00450%0.033-0.08650%-0.02
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.050.00262%0.013-0.11475%-0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.040.021847%0.035-0.16989%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.72.330.615.729.12.534.5141.4
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +53.5%
OKC +9.9%
MEM -20.4%
OKC +13.3%
MEM -6.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMOKCNBAMEMOKCNBA
this game16.115.315.6103.3108.6102.8
season15.614.7102.0107.9
opponent15.815.7101.9100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.415.617.816.316.1
OKC16.217.111.017.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quincy Pondexter12140.16-0.660.82-0.026-131911.816.7-4.8614.615.4-0.72
Hamed Haddadi16160.12-0.620.74-0.035-121712.316.9-4.5416.115.10.97
Dante Cunningham50500.08-0.580.66-0.096-131914.917.5-2.6514.815.8-1.08
Marreese Speights2323-0.29-0.21-0.070.01-103-1320.014.75.3415.515.20.35
Rudy Gay8181-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.16-103-1316.512.53.9915.116.4-1.33
Marc Gasol7173-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.24-81-916.713.92.7615.315.00.27
O.J. Mayo6264-0.520.02-0.53-0.37-5-2-314.219.9-5.6914.516.9-2.33
Tony Allen7173-0.530.03-0.56-0.21-114-1516.514.51.9916.112.33.70
Mike Conley6971-0.590.09-0.69-0.36-81-917.212.44.8715.414.70.75

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant84820.60-0.100.710.2213-61915.017.7-2.6716.611.35.24
James Harden67660.58-0.080.650.319-21115.514.70.8415.018.9-3.90
Daequan Cook62600.53-0.030.560.4143115.514.70.8716.415.31.16
Russell Westbrook80800.390.110.290.0711-41515.116.4-1.3116.512.93.58
Nick Collison40390.320.180.140.088-1914.815.6-0.8015.316.6-1.31
Kendrick Perkins58560.240.26-0.020.1243115.215.3-0.1416.615.21.34
Reggie Jackson13110.110.39-0.290.22-411-1516.415.11.3112.916.5-3.58
Nazr Mohammed1515-0.120.62-0.730.03-512-1715.815.20.6512.116.8-4.78
Serge Ibaka4646-0.150.65-0.80-0.00-512-1715.315.20.0517.514.62.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 93, CHA 950.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.53,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.58,191.7%
UTA 86, CHI 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.59,191.3%
CLE 84, TOR 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.73,190.9%