inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 112 Excitement3.7 [859] MVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): +21.9%
Los Angeles Clippers 91 Comeback3.2 [308] LVPMo Williams (LAC): -9.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.190.030.011095%0.241-0.022100%0.01
Timofey Mozgov0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.01585%0.111-0.01333%-0.01
Andre Miller0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.02567%0.0510.002100%0.01
Ty Lawson0.050,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.020.051164%0.0510.00683%0.02
Rudy Fernandez0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01771%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Kosta Koufos0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03350%0.0210.002100%0.00
Arron Afflalo0.000,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.010.06675%0.063-0.068100%0.03
DeMarre Carroll0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02375%0.0010.002100%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00275%0.0010.0000%0.00
Al Harrington-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.000.04944%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Nene-0.060,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.04-0.091233%0.023-0.0800%0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Blake Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.00-0.011269%0.112-0.0220%-0.04
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01971%0.132-0.05333%-0.01
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.140.000.131174%0.0100.001100%0.00
Trey Thompkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Leslie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Gomes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.00-0.0840%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04217%-0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00940%-0.0100.002100%0.01
DeAndre Jordan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.00233%-0.031-0.0120%-0.03
Caron Butler0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.001439%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.020.041350%-0.043-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.831.117.431.32.830.2139.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +27.7%
DEN +19.3%
DEN +5.8%
LAC -2.5%
LAC -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLACNBADENLACNBA
this game14.717.315.6124.4101.1102.8
season14.516.2107.5106.0
opponent15.715.8104.5104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.714.114.115.814.7
LAC17.321.117.214.217.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson60590.63-0.130.76-0.0523-22514.315.5-1.1517.916.21.69
Danilo Gallinari51490.58-0.080.66-0.1224-32714.015.6-1.5218.915.43.51
Nene40400.490.010.49-0.061921714.115.1-0.9919.015.93.06
Timofey Mozgov46460.350.150.20-0.00129313.615.9-2.3216.318.3-2.04
Arron Afflalo66680.330.170.16-0.02129314.216.1-1.8917.217.5-0.32
Andre Miller52540.210.29-0.08-0.291741314.914.40.4418.116.02.12
Al Harrington39390.000.50-0.49-0.23813-514.714.7-0.0117.317.3-0.03
DeMarre Carroll11110.000.50-0.500.06-223-2516.514.42.1012.518.0-5.42
Kenneth Faried15140.000.50-0.500.15-526-3117.214.23.0011.918.3-6.36
Jordan Hamilton15140.000.50-0.500.15-526-3117.214.23.0011.918.3-6.36
Rudy Fernandez3435-0.000.50-0.51-0.15516-1115.614.21.3818.316.61.71
Kosta Koufos2121-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-324-2716.114.31.8816.917.4-0.52

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Evans24220.12-0.620.740.120-212118.716.81.9813.915.0-1.05
Travis Leslie1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-212112.518.0-5.4216.814.42.46
Trey Thompkins1717-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-252912.418.5-6.1017.214.13.13
Brian Cook2424-0.01-0.490.470.04-2-191714.218.4-4.2215.814.31.49
Randy Foye5152-0.02-0.480.460.15-6-15916.518.3-1.7315.513.71.80
Ryan Gomes2423-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-212113.118.8-5.6915.414.40.99
Mo Williams4443-0.11-0.390.280.12-8-13517.816.81.0615.114.30.75
Chris Paul5757-0.32-0.18-0.150.03-12-9-318.215.72.5314.515.0-0.52
Blake Griffin6059-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-14-7-718.016.02.0014.016.0-1.93
Chauncey Billups4142-0.510.01-0.520.02-18-3-1518.816.02.8114.015.3-1.31
Caron Butler4747-0.610.11-0.710.10-243-2719.115.33.7814.015.5-1.55
DeAndre Jordan5052-0.640.14-0.780.09-254-2918.316.02.2514.015.7-1.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 111, SAS 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
TOR 99, DET 820.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
TOR 109, ORL 790.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%