inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 91 Excitement5.6 [560] MVPJames Harden (OKC): +18.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 101 Comeback1.0 [1042] LVPTrevor Ariza (NOH): -16.1%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gustavo Ayon0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.060.011080%0.191-0.0500%0.00
Carl Landry0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.050.01571%0.162-0.0511100%0.08
Al-Farouq Aminu0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.03-0.02685%0.153-0.051100%0.00
Jason Smith0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.02-0.04850%0.061-0.0400%0.00
DaJuan Summers0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Emeka Okafor-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.040.01667%0.042-0.0800%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.00540%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jarrett Jack-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.03-0.060.031457%0.012-0.077100%0.04
Xavier Henry-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00525%-0.061-0.03250%-0.01
Marco Belinelli-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.00825%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.15-0.02-0.02812%-0.123-0.0400%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.120.070.01590%0.252-0.061090%0.04
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.05-0.003150%0.171-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.10-0.010.041376%0.134-0.087100%0.03
Serge Ibaka0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.010.011164%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.01-0.002100%0.082-0.063100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.02-0.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Lazar Hayward00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.180.08-0.061438%0.127-0.16967%0.03
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02636%0.022-0.072100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00337%-0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.31.034.214.724.12.631.3132.3
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +41.4%
OKC +10.7%
OKC +0.3%
NOH -3.5%
OKC +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHOKCNBANOHOKCNBA
this game15.914.715.696.8107.4102.8
season16.314.799.2107.9
opponent15.815.7101.9103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH16.316.016.315.215.9
OKC14.314.014.416.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DaJuan Summers320.09-0.590.68-0.055-15207.716.2-8.5312.514.8-2.26
Xavier Henry2826-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-111215.616.0-0.4013.315.2-1.94
Gustavo Ayon3233-0.06-0.440.37-0.184-141817.215.31.9614.215.0-0.86
Greivis Vasquez3334-0.08-0.420.34-0.173-131616.115.80.2514.514.8-0.33
Emeka Okafor4039-0.18-0.320.140.06-8-2-616.715.41.3514.914.60.32
Carl Landry5355-0.23-0.270.03-0.230-101016.515.21.2514.015.7-1.63
Jason Smith4948-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.00-122-1414.817.2-2.4014.914.50.37
Al-Farouq Aminu4949-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.15-7-3-415.616.3-0.7414.714.70.05
Marco Belinelli6263-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.08-111-1216.215.30.9315.213.71.45
Trevor Ariza5656-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.05-122-1415.916.0-0.1215.513.61.90
Jarrett Jack6565-0.510.01-0.52-0.13-133-1615.716.5-0.8614.914.20.68

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook71690.60-0.100.700.2213-31614.914.00.8916.315.01.26
Kevin Durant78780.54-0.040.590.251001014.714.9-0.2715.816.7-0.92
James Harden57570.460.040.410.161001014.515.1-0.6115.816.1-0.30
Nick Collison35350.300.200.10-0.0211-11213.115.7-2.5515.915.9-0.02
Kendrick Perkins58580.200.30-0.100.23-111-1215.713.12.6416.115.70.42
Thabo Sefolosha45450.190.31-0.110.0846-215.514.01.5715.416.4-1.01
Serge Ibaka56560.190.31-0.120.0746-215.014.30.6216.215.50.67
Daequan Cook28270.150.35-0.190.0928-613.715.1-1.4217.115.41.66
Lazar Hayward110.000.50-0.500.00010-1012.014.7-2.747.016.0-9.02
Nazr Mohammed1819-0.040.54-0.57-0.04010-1014.414.8-0.4015.716.0-0.30
Reggie Jackson2426-0.100.60-0.70-0.01-313-1614.015.0-1.0114.716.4-1.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 82, LAL 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,194.5%
NYK 95, WAS 1080.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,194.2%
WAS 65, NJN 790.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,1,1,194.1%