NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	65		Excitement	5.2 [752]		MVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): +5.8%
New Jersey Nets	79		Comeback	1.1 [1104]		LVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): -28.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	14	63%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	20%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	18	36%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	2	0%	-0.08	3	-0.13	2	0%	-0.04
Michael Jordan	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.02	20	29%	-0.17	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	39%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	15	58%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	13	61%	0.04	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	0.01	-0.00	17	31%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.5	30.5	16.8	30.7	2.6	28.6	138.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +10.8%

NJN +13.4%

NJN +0.2%

NJN +21.5%

NJN +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	16.8	15.0	15.5	72.2	86.8	101.6
season	16.5	15.0		100.9	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		96.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	16.0	18.0	17.3	16.8
NJN	13.9	15.3	16.3	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	35	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-14	14	15.1	17.9	-2.78	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Etan Thomas	23	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-18	22	17.9	16.4	1.48	15.5	14.9	0.67
Jared Jeffries	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-9	4	17.5	16.7	0.76	15.3	15.0	0.36
Bryon Russell	17	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-10	6	16.7	16.8	-0.13	17.4	14.6	2.85
Charles Oakley	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-8	2	17.0	16.8	0.22	14.3	15.1	-0.85
Christian Laettner	52	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-7	0	15.5	18.6	-3.11	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Jerry Stackhouse	56	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-9	4	16.8	16.8	0.03	14.5	15.9	-1.34
Larry Hughes	76	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-8	2	16.6	18.1	-1.58	14.6	17.1	-2.42
Tyronn Lue	42	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	17.6	16.1	1.51	15.5	14.5	0.97
Kwame Brown	48	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	1	-16	18.4	15.0	3.49	15.9	14.0	1.94
Michael Jordan	77	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	0	-14	16.8	16.8	-0.04	15.1	14.9	0.19

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	74	73	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.11	19	-5	24	14.4	17.5	-3.08	17.2	15.3	1.87
Richard Jefferson	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-1	16	14.2	18.8	-4.60	16.7	17.2	-0.46
Kenyon Martin	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	-1	16	16.3	12.9	3.43	17.7	15.3	2.39
Aaron Williams	36	36	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	9	-4	15.0	15.0	-0.04	17.0	16.7	0.27
Jason Collins	55	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	5	4	15.0	15.0	0.04	16.7	17.0	-0.27
Rodney Rogers	51	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	16	-18	14.8	15.3	-0.59	15.9	17.9	-2.00
Tamar Slay	16	16	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	8	-2	16.6	14.7	1.87	16.8	16.8	0.00
Anthony Johnson	22	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	13	-12	15.9	14.8	1.11	16.6	16.9	-0.27
Lucious Harris	70	68	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	12	-10	15.0	15.0	-0.03	16.5	17.8	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.85,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
UTA 91, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NOH 91, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.1%