NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	8.0 [202]		MVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): +11.5%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	3.5 [85]		LVP	CJ Watson (CHI): -15.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	14	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	16	65%	0.21	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Paul George	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.05,0.01	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	18	35%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Lou Amundson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	55%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
George Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	15	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.06	-0.01	19	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	20	38%	-0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	2	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	14	37%	-0.01	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	6	7%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	27.3	16.4	25.4	1.8	38.2	137.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +69.5%

CHI -4.9%

CHI -12.8%

IND +1.5%

CHI -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	106.7	98.9	102.8
season	15.7	16.0		104.2	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.6		97.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.4	14.8	15.5	17.2	16.2
CHI	16.1	15.2	17.2	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	61	62	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	16.3	16.0	0.23	16.0	15.3	0.69
David West	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	2	1	16.2	16.1	0.10	15.3	17.0	-1.72
Roy Hibbert	65	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	-1	7	16.5	15.4	1.06	15.9	15.5	0.42
Danny Granger	68	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	2	1	16.5	15.3	1.18	15.3	17.5	-2.22
Tyler Hansbrough	39	41	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	-1	7	16.2	16.2	0.03	16.6	15.1	1.49
Darren Collison	60	62	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	6	-7	16.4	15.8	0.64	15.9	15.6	0.28
Dahntay Jones	21	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	3	-1	15.3	16.5	-1.18	17.5	15.3	2.22
George Hill	47	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	5	-5	15.7	16.7	-0.99	15.1	16.7	-1.63
Lance Stephenson	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	1	3	16.7	16.1	0.57	16.6	15.7	0.88
Lou Amundson	10	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	10	-15	14.1	16.5	-2.36	15.8	15.8	0.01

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	20	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-5	5	17.3	15.4	1.91	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Kyle Korver	20	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-4	3	15.9	15.8	0.11	14.7	16.6	-1.85
Carlos Boozer	71	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-10	15	15.7	16.3	-0.62	16.2	16.1	0.11
Jimmy Butler	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	0	-5	15.7	15.8	-0.17	17.0	16.1	0.92
Omer Asik	24	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-3	1	17.0	15.4	1.67	14.3	16.9	-2.60
Joakim Noah	67	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-2	-1	15.4	17.0	-1.67	16.9	14.3	2.60
Ronnie Brewer	79	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-5	5	15.8	15.7	0.17	16.1	17.0	-0.92
Brian Scalabrine	20	19	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	5	-15	16.3	15.7	0.62	16.1	16.2	-0.11
Richard Hamilton	71	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	15.8	15.9	-0.11	16.6	14.7	1.85
Derrick Rose	71	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	0	-5	15.4	17.3	-1.91	16.5	14.9	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.22,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%
IND 94, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.7%
CLE 120, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.29,0.15,0,0	92.5%