NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	102		Excitement	7.3 [301]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (ORL): +42.5%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	2.9 [397]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -27.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.43	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43	0.23	0.18	-0.01	19	77%	0.48	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.05	0.16	-0.01	9	75%	0.32	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
JJ Redick	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.21	0.18	0.06	0.02	12	81%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Earl Clark	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	10	36%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.10	-0.02	6	38%	-0.05	6	-0.18	9	22%	-0.13

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.12	-0.02	7	62%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	73%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	43%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	3	75%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.07	-0.17	0.03	27	47%	-0.10	5	-0.17	16	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.4	33.8	17.0	27.3	2.7	36.3	144.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +93.8%

NYK -22.3%

ORL +8.0%

NYK -25.3%

NYK -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.6	109.7	102.2	102.8
season	16.2	14.9		102.8	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.8		100.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.7	17.9	16.0	15.7	16.5
NYK	14.7	14.9	14.6	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	71	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-7	23	16.2	17.5	-1.23	14.8	14.8	-0.00
JJ Redick	73	70	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-1	11	16.0	18.5	-2.53	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Jameer Nelson	62	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	5	-1	15.8	17.9	-2.08	14.7	14.9	-0.26
Dwight Howard	74	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	7	-5	15.7	19.8	-4.11	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Hedo Turkoglu	55	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	9	-9	16.3	16.8	-0.51	14.8	14.7	0.08
Von Wafer	25	25	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	4	1	18.8	15.7	3.07	15.8	14.4	1.37
Glen Davis	37	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	4	1	18.4	15.3	3.14	14.6	14.9	-0.23
Chris Duhon	31	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	4	1	17.9	15.8	2.08	14.9	14.7	0.26
Earl Clark	14	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	8	-7	14.3	16.9	-2.63	13.3	15.0	-1.65
Quentin Richardson	23	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	12	-15	18.2	16.0	2.26	14.9	14.7	0.20

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	57	59	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.04	8	-17	25	14.8	14.7	0.05	16.8	16.1	0.67
Josh Harrellson	27	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-6	3	14.3	15.0	-0.67	15.6	16.8	-1.20
Jared Jeffries	46	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-7	5	14.8	14.8	0.03	17.8	15.1	2.72
Carmelo Anthony	75	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-13	17	14.6	15.4	-0.73	16.0	19.2	-3.23
Iman Shumpert	65	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-9	9	14.5	15.4	-0.92	16.0	17.9	-1.95
Mike Bibby	16	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-1	-7	16.9	14.3	2.63	20.1	15.7	4.41
Henry Walker	19	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	2	-13	14.9	14.7	0.23	16.6	16.5	0.08
Tyson Chandler	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	14.4	15.9	-1.56	15.7	18.5	-2.75
Amar'e Stoudemire	41	44	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	3	-15	15.2	14.4	0.86	16.4	16.6	-0.20
Toney Douglas	42	42	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.29	-15	6	-21	15.0	14.6	0.34	16.9	16.2	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.07,0.04,0	92.8%
DAL 94, UTA 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.22,0.08,0.01,0,0,0	91.8%
DET 72, IND 67	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.05,0	91.6%