inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 99 Excitement5.1 [637] MVPDavid Lee (GSW): +25.7%
Detroit Pistons 91 Comeback2.3 [243] LVPAustin Daye (DET): -11.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Lee0.260,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.160.100.001283%0.292-0.03580%0.01
Brandon Rush0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.010.02875%0.0800.0000%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.04-0.04759%0.093-0.02367%0.00
Nate Robinson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.01762%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Charles Jenkins0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.00650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.040.011456%0.155-0.131173%-0.00
Chris Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Tyler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dominic McGuire-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Andris Biedrins-0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.01350%0.012-0.0620%-0.03
Dorell Wright-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.041337%-0.022-0.034100%0.03

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.01-0.021266%0.183-0.061493%0.07
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.040.001260%0.091-0.0010%-0.02
Tayshaun Prince0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.010.041562%0.072-0.062100%0.01
Brandon Knight0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.02850%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.010.021148%-0.001-0.02786%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.00743%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.040.01525%-0.091-0.02250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.432.18.725.61.037.3134.2
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +47.7%
DET -2.3%
GSW +10.3%
DET -4.2%
DET -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDETNBAGSWDETNBA
this game15.816.215.6110.0101.1102.8
season15.216.3103.699.5
opponent15.415.4104.4106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.916.413.717.015.8
DET15.416.318.214.916.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ekpe Udoh49470.53-0.030.560.1513-51816.814.62.1716.416.00.32
Monta Ellis67680.50-0.000.500.1512-41615.915.40.5316.316.00.28
David Lee61640.380.120.260.0910-21215.416.7-1.3316.914.52.41
Brandon Rush39370.360.140.230.1671616.914.91.9615.216.9-1.69
Charles Jenkins56550.330.170.160.1562414.717.6-2.9417.114.82.26
Dorell Wright69690.320.180.140.1753215.516.8-1.2716.016.9-0.90
Nate Robinson36370.170.33-0.160.20-19-1017.414.72.7114.317.5-3.25
Chris Wright210.000.50-0.500.09-311-1414.015.8-1.835.016.3-11.34
Jeremy Tyler210.000.50-0.500.09-311-1414.015.8-1.835.016.3-11.34
Klay Thompson2120-0.020.52-0.540.01-19-1015.515.9-0.3516.916.00.95
Andris Biedrins3941-0.030.53-0.560.03-210-1214.616.7-2.0316.615.90.69
Dominic McGuire910-0.050.55-0.600.04-311-1416.615.70.8517.216.11.11

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Austin Daye2222-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-101218.015.62.3117.215.31.84
Jason Maxiell1715-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-2-417.715.91.8416.415.70.73
Brandon Knight7576-0.20-0.300.09-0.262-101216.017.3-1.2715.815.80.00
Greg Monroe7476-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.26-1-7615.917.6-1.6415.716.2-0.50
Tayshaun Prince7677-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.29-1-7615.221.4-6.1815.616.8-1.15
Ben Wallace2421-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.06-91-1018.715.33.4115.116.0-0.90
Jonas Jerebko4648-0.33-0.17-0.170.05-135-1816.715.71.0815.016.7-1.65
Ben Gordon6868-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.15-80-815.418.6-3.2115.416.9-1.42
Rodney Stuckey4847-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.27-6-2-416.515.80.7116.914.52.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 89, SEA 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.73,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0,0.01,093.4%
GSW 130, ORL 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.0%
SAS 115, SAC 1130.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,092.9%