inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 78 Excitement3.7 [856] MVPAndrea Bargnani (TOR): +5.2%
Washington Wizards 93 Comeback1.7 [575] LVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): -16.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.021661%0.102-0.054100%0.02
Gary Forbes-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Ed Davis-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00262%-0.001-0.00475%-0.01
Leandro Barbosa-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.031155%0.024-0.0300%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02350%0.012-0.052100%0.01
Anthony Carter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.000.05667%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
James Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.01533%-0.051-0.012100%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.00-0.03615%-0.052-0.0210%-0.02
Jose Calderon-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.020.01944%-0.004-0.1100%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.15-0.03-0.031631%-0.093-0.07475%-0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.010.061065%0.0500.00367%0.01
Chris Singleton0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.02950%0.0400.0000%0.00
Trevor Booker0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00480%0.041-0.0020%-0.02
Jan Vesely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.022100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nick Young0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.010.041354%0.0200.002100%0.01
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03450%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Jordan Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.051144%0.002-0.00333%-0.03
JaVale McGee0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.02-0.03671%0.086-0.092100%0.01
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.031137%0.011-0.0320%-0.01
John Wall0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.00-0.011230%-0.082-0.02367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.827.215.727.22.425.6123.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +30.6%
TOR -2.6%
TOR -2.4%
WAS +20.9%
WAS +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORWASNBATORWASNBA
this game16.914.215.684.8100.0102.8
season16.515.098.999.5
opponent15.715.2104.6102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR18.517.016.515.916.9
WAS15.813.013.514.814.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Forbes2324-0.01-0.490.47-0.134-192315.917.3-1.3614.714.00.72
Rasual Butler4445-0.09-0.410.330.03-4-11717.716.21.5614.613.90.70
Anthony Carter3636-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-141315.517.9-2.3615.613.42.19
Ed Davis4041-0.18-0.320.15-0.09-3-12916.117.6-1.5214.913.71.19
Leandro Barbosa4142-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-6-9314.319.0-4.7215.513.12.39
Amir Johnson5353-0.24-0.260.02-0.03-7-8118.514.83.6713.315.4-2.08
Jose Calderon5657-0.39-0.11-0.280.02-14-1-1317.915.52.3613.415.6-2.19
James Johnson5456-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.00-14-1-1315.718.7-3.0714.413.90.49
Andrea Bargnani5554-0.42-0.08-0.330.02-150-1517.915.62.2913.914.7-0.78
DeMar DeRozan5857-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-150-1518.115.03.0213.215.8-2.60

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashard Lewis52520.410.090.320.06123914.414.00.3816.517.4-0.91
Jordan Crawford38370.400.100.300.08114713.214.9-1.6516.916.90.02
Andray Blatche47480.340.160.18-0.1617-21915.013.41.5415.718.2-2.52
Jan Vesely33320.340.160.17-0.071411313.014.9-1.8417.416.70.72
John Wall64660.330.170.150.18510-513.615.7-2.0918.014.33.72
Shelvin Mack29260.170.33-0.15-0.12105515.713.62.0914.318.0-3.72
Trevor Booker60600.170.33-0.170.14114-1314.913.01.8416.717.4-0.72
JaVale McGee42400.160.34-0.180.16015-1513.414.9-1.4318.815.53.26
Nick Young55550.100.40-0.31-0.02411-714.913.21.6516.916.9-0.02
Chris Singleton45440.090.41-0.320.06114-1314.014.5-0.5017.016.80.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 91, CHI 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.0%
LAL 84, SAS 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.7%
ATL 93, GSW 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%