NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	4.3 [916]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +9.4%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	1.3 [767]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -13.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.05	6	92%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Wingate	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	17	52%	-0.01	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	-0.07	3	-0.04	11	82%	-0.00
Vin Baker	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	16	48%	-0.08	2	-0.05	12	25%	-0.12

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.06	27	56%	0.10	1	-0.00	18	89%	0.06
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.0	34.0	16.7	27.0	2.5	30.5	139.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +12.9%

CHI +20.4%

CHI +18.0%

SEA -5.9%

CHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CHI	NBA	SEA	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	16.8	15.6	100.0	109.8	102.5
season	15.3	16.2		109.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.2		97.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.9	16.0	14.6	14.4	14.7
CHI	15.5	16.0	14.8	21.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.20	6	-16	22	14.4	14.9	-0.53	16.5	16.9	-0.42
Aaron Williams	18	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-7	4	16.1	14.3	1.71	15.0	17.3	-2.28
David Wingate	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-8	6	15.3	14.5	0.79	13.4	17.7	-4.26
Hersey Hawkins	59	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-8	6	14.1	15.8	-1.74	18.1	14.4	3.77
Greg Anthony	15	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-5	0	15.7	14.5	1.18	15.8	17.0	-1.25
Jim McIlvaine	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-1	-8	14.0	14.9	-0.98	16.0	17.1	-1.12
Dale Ellis	57	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-10	10	14.3	15.4	-1.07	16.6	17.1	-0.49
Vin Baker	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	14.5	15.5	-0.99	17.4	14.1	3.27
Detlef Schrempf	69	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	1	-12	15.0	13.6	1.44	17.4	14.8	2.58
Gary Payton	82	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.12	-15	5	-20	15.0	11.9	3.10	16.7	17.7	-1.03

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	61	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	0	10	15.8	18.7	-2.96	14.6	14.8	-0.13
Michael Jordan	69	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	5	0	18.4	12.0	6.43	14.5	15.3	-0.84
Jud Buechler	10	9	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	2	6	13.3	17.2	-3.91	18.6	14.3	4.30
Jason Caffey	26	24	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	3	4	17.7	16.4	1.27	15.3	14.5	0.83
Dennis Rodman	63	61	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	7	-4	17.3	15.8	1.50	14.4	15.2	-0.77
Steve Kerr	40	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	9	-8	17.6	16.1	1.53	13.9	15.2	-1.35
Toni Kukoc	39	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	13	-16	17.4	16.3	1.04	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Scott Burrell	32	33	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	7	-4	15.1	17.7	-2.54	14.7	14.7	0.02
Luc Longley	36	37	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	9	-8	16.7	16.9	-0.19	14.6	14.7	-0.06
Randy Brown	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	8	-6	15.7	16.9	-1.20	14.8	14.7	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 56, BOS 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 78, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 89, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%