NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	68		Excitement	4.1 [783]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): +14.8%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.1 [1057]		LVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): -13.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Macklin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	55%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	65%	0.00	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	-0.05	12	15%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.02	0.03	13	72%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	16	59%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	45%	-0.03	1	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	12	17%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	26.4	15.8	26.0	2.4	30.5	128.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.9%

CHI +7.7%

CHI +0.4%

CHI +14.8%

CHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	17.9	16.2	15.6	81.0	108.2	102.8
season	16.3	16.0		99.5	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.4		97.0	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.6	20.8	15.2	16.7	17.9
CHI	15.6	17.1	18.4	14.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Macklin	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	16.2	18.1	-1.86	12.2	16.6	-4.32
Will Bynum	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-20	16	16.8	18.3	-1.57	15.1	16.5	-1.45
Austin Daye	23	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	-15	6	18.9	17.6	1.30	14.6	16.7	-2.05
Damien Wilkins	43	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-19	14	16.8	19.1	-2.38	16.0	16.4	-0.38
Jason Maxiell	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-16	8	17.1	18.8	-1.71	16.6	15.7	0.89
Greg Monroe	56	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-12	0	17.5	18.9	-1.39	16.6	15.2	1.38
Ben Gordon	46	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-10	-4	18.0	17.8	0.21	16.3	16.0	0.33
Ben Wallace	20	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.03	-10	-14	4	19.9	17.3	2.59	16.5	16.1	0.40
Jonas Jerebko	41	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-8	-8	18.8	17.1	1.71	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Brandon Knight	62	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.21	-20	-4	-16	18.3	16.8	1.57	16.5	15.1	1.45
Tayshaun Prince	56	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	-4	-16	18.4	17.1	1.29	16.8	15.0	1.79

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	58	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	13	-2	16.9	14.5	2.41	18.6	16.6	1.97
Joakim Noah	44	42	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	11	2	17.3	15.0	2.34	17.8	18.1	-0.33
Taj Gibson	36	37	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.18	18	6	12	15.4	16.7	-1.35	18.3	17.7	0.61
Kyle Korver	57	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	7	10	15.7	17.0	-1.30	17.6	18.6	-1.03
John Lucas III	27	28	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	12	0	15.0	16.7	-1.71	18.5	17.6	0.86
Ronnie Brewer	55	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.29	20	4	16	15.8	16.8	-1.03	17.6	18.5	-0.89
Derrick Rose	58	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	12	0	16.7	15.0	1.71	17.6	18.5	-0.86
Carlos Boozer	45	43	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	16	-8	17.2	15.0	2.25	17.7	18.1	-0.43
Omer Asik	39	40	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	17	-10	15.2	17.0	-1.87	18.3	17.6	0.71
Brian Scalabrine	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	11.2	16.5	-5.38	16.0	18.1	-2.08
Jimmy Butler	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	11.2	16.5	-5.38	16.0	18.1	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
NYK 125, UTA 131	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	94.9%
SAC 84, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.76,0.86,0.84,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%