NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	88		Excitement	8.8 [120]		MVP	Brandon Rush (GSW): +21.2%
Golden State Warriors	87		Comeback	5.6 [143]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -49.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.01	9	52%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.04,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.21	1	-0.12	6	67%	-0.04
Raja Bell	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	15	44%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Josh Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21	-0.05	-0.17	-0.01	12	35%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	7	100%	0.28	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Tyler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.12	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.03
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.12,0.05,-0.5	-0.50	-0.04	-0.47	-0.01	22	52%	-0.15	6	-0.34	17	94%	0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	32.4	14.5	28.8	2.5	30.6	132.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -3.6%

GSW -13.5%

UTA +14.0%

UTA +46.6%

UTA +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	17.1	15.9	15.6	100.0	100.0	102.8
season	15.8	15.2		104.0	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		106.8	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	18.0	16.8	16.8	17.1
GSW	16.9	15.5	13.7	17.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	39	41	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.38	19	-18	37	16.3	17.7	-1.44	17.3	14.5	2.82
Devin Harris	56	58	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.55	13	-12	25	16.6	17.8	-1.24	15.9	15.8	0.03
Gordon Hayward	53	53	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.53	13	-12	25	16.8	17.4	-0.62	16.1	15.5	0.62
Raja Bell	43	43	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.54	12	-11	23	17.7	16.5	1.16	16.0	15.7	0.39
Al Jefferson	62	62	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.20	13	-12	25	16.6	18.1	-1.50	16.4	14.6	1.75
CJ Miles	8	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	4	-7	18.2	16.9	1.31	14.0	16.0	-2.04
Earl Watson	32	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.27	-12	13	-25	17.8	16.6	1.24	15.4	16.1	-0.64
Josh Howard	47	46	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.13	-8	9	-17	16.3	18.0	-1.67	16.3	15.4	0.92
Alec Burks	25	24	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.03	-12	13	-25	17.6	16.8	0.81	14.7	16.3	-1.52
Enes Kanter	26	24	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.07	-12	13	-25	18.1	16.6	1.50	15.0	16.2	-1.12
Derrick Favors	49	46	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.09	-18	19	-37	17.7	16.3	1.44	14.5	17.3	-2.82

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	27	30	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.06	12	-13	25	15.4	16.0	-0.59	17.0	17.1	-0.14
Dominic McGuire	13	14	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-3	5	15.2	16.0	-0.73	13.1	17.8	-4.65
Jeremy Tyler	3	3	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-4	7	14.3	15.9	-1.57	25.0	16.8	8.22
Brandon Rush	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.48	10	-11	21	15.7	16.1	-0.49	16.4	18.1	-1.69
Klay Thompson	40	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.52	11	-12	23	16.5	15.3	1.29	18.2	16.2	1.97
Nate Robinson	47	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.42	7	-8	15	15.8	15.9	-0.05	17.2	16.8	0.38
Dorell Wright	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	10	-21	15.8	15.9	-0.03	18.0	16.4	1.60
Charles Jenkins	18	18	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.12	-17	16	-33	18.3	15.2	3.13	15.4	17.5	-2.10
Monta Ellis	68	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.52	-3	2	-5	15.0	19.1	-4.10	16.8	18.1	-1.27
David Lee	74	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.53	-3	2	-5	16.0	15.2	0.73	17.8	13.1	4.65
Kwame Brown	57	55	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.16	-16	15	-31	16.1	15.3	0.79	16.7	17.7	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.68,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 104, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.45,0.72,0.84,0.73,0	91.5%
IND 92, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.42,0	91.4%
CLE 98, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.42,0	90.4%