NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Excitement	9.1 [98]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +20.7%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	8.4 [206]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): -28.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.04,-0.13,0.04,0.21	-0.06	0.26	-0.01	25	48%	0.34	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.07
James Harden	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.03	0.15	-0.02	12	55%	0.27	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	20	57%	0.14	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Daequan Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.04	0.00	10	83%	0.17	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.09	0.01	28	46%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.03
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.02	-0.04	11	57%	0.22	3	-0.19	6	100%	0.06
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	-0.00	10	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28	-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	-0.00	6	17%	-0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.6	26.3	14.8	27.1	1.7	36.0	131.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +44.9%

OKC +9.2%

HOU -14.5%

OKC +3.3%

OKC +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	16.3	15.6	107.7	105.6	102.8
season	14.7	15.4		107.9	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.4	14.6	16.2	15.0	15.5
HOU	17.0	16.8	13.8	17.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	57	56	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-7	17	16.3	14.3	1.96	16.8	15.4	1.39
Russell Westbrook	76	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	-1	5	15.5	16.0	-0.54	16.5	15.3	1.17
Nick Collison	52	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	1	1	16.7	14.0	2.71	16.2	16.4	-0.28
Daequan Cook	28	30	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-8	19	15.5	15.6	-0.07	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Nazr Mohammed	33	36	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	-3	9	16.2	15.2	1.09	15.8	16.6	-0.83
Kendrick Perkins	56	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	6	-9	14.8	16.7	-1.89	16.6	15.9	0.66
Kevin Durant	65	62	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	11	-19	15.8	14.8	1.04	16.7	15.4	1.23
Eric Maynor	15	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	4	-5	16.0	15.5	0.54	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Serge Ibaka	38	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	2	-1	14.3	16.4	-2.07	16.4	16.2	0.28
Thabo Sefolosha	35	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	10	-17	13.9	16.6	-2.61	15.4	16.8	-1.39

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	42	44	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.11	6	-9	15	17.1	15.6	1.53	15.2	15.9	-0.76
Chandler Parsons	54	57	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.27	14	-17	31	16.4	16.1	0.32	15.8	15.2	0.60
Jonny Flynn	19	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	15.9	16.4	-0.42	17.4	15.1	2.30
Terrence Williams	23	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	0	-3	15.6	16.5	-0.96	16.0	15.4	0.53
Luis Scola	68	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-8	13	16.8	14.5	2.29	15.7	15.0	0.71
Kevin Martin	67	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-3	3	16.5	15.6	0.96	15.4	16.0	-0.53
Jordan Hill	27	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	6	-15	14.9	16.9	-1.98	16.0	15.4	0.68
Goran Dragic	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-2	1	16.4	15.9	0.42	15.1	17.4	-2.30
Chase Budinger	36	34	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.15	-17	14	-31	16.1	16.4	-0.32	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Patrick Patterson	43	43	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.53	-8	5	-13	15.5	17.0	-1.56	15.4	15.7	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.73,0	89.8%
UTA 94, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.58,0	89.4%
LAC 106, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	89.4%