NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	6.4 [549]		MVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): +24.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	2.0 [399]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -20.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.09,0.15,0.25	0.04	0.21	0.01	14	53%	0.34	1	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.23	0.19	0.05	0.01	23	63%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Shawne Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Landry Fields	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	19	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	7	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.02	0.04	16	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.09	0.00	14	45%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.01	16	62%	0.24	2	-0.15	8	37%	-0.07
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.20	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	17	32%	-0.15	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.7	29.2	16.4	26.2	1.5	39.5	136.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.5%

NYK +6.7%

PHI -5.1%

NYK +3.8%

NYK +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	16.1	15.5	107.8	103.4	105.7
season	14.3	15.5		108.6	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.7	15.7	15.4	19.5	16.0
PHI	20.0	17.0	14.6	13.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	2	1	16.1	15.7	0.34	16.0	16.7	-0.63
Carmelo Anthony	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	-2	9	16.2	15.6	0.59	16.5	15.0	1.56
Landry Fields	47	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-1	7	16.0	16.1	-0.11	15.3	17.1	-1.78
Ronny Turiaf	25	26	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	0	5	17.9	15.3	2.61	13.8	17.1	-3.25
Toney Douglas	57	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.34	-2	7	-9	16.6	15.1	1.44	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Chauncey Billups	43	43	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	-4	13	15.3	16.7	-1.44	18.2	14.3	3.90
Jared Jeffries	26	21	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	3	-1	15.3	16.3	-1.02	18.3	15.5	2.86
Anthony Carter	29	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	5	-5	15.6	16.2	-0.61	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Henry Walker	26	24	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.12	-3	8	-11	16.3	15.9	0.39	15.4	16.4	-1.06
Shawne Williams	25	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	0	5	15.0	16.4	-1.43	15.7	16.3	-0.65
Shelden Williams	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	3	-1	12.7	16.6	-3.93	18.5	15.7	2.79
Derrick Brown	16	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.12	-9	14	-23	18.5	15.5	3.00	16.9	16.0	0.91

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	38	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.28	9	-14	23	16.5	15.9	0.62	16.4	15.7	0.75
Marreese Speights	18	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	15.1	16.4	-1.30	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Andres Nocioni	15	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	2	-9	16.3	16.1	0.15	12.7	16.6	-3.93
Spencer Hawes	32	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	9	-23	16.4	16.0	0.46	14.0	17.0	-3.05
Elton Brand	70	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-5	5	16.6	14.6	1.99	16.4	14.4	1.99
Jodie Meeks	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-2	-1	16.0	16.6	-0.60	15.7	17.0	-1.24
Thaddeus Young	55	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-7	9	16.0	16.4	-0.43	16.7	14.9	1.80
Andre Iguodala	70	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	16.0	16.6	-0.62	16.6	13.8	2.84
Jrue Holiday	82	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	2	-9	16.1	17.1	-1.08	16.2	14.4	1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.36,0.67,0.29,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.27,0	92.0%
TOR 92, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.38,0.63,0.57,0.08,0	91.0%
UTA 91, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.21,0.32,0.1,0	90.4%