NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	82		Excitement	8.6 [163]		MVP	Mo Williams (LAC): +53.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	81		Comeback	8.0 [53]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -24.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.53	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.55,0.53	0.07	0.44	-0.03	13	59%	0.56	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Jamario Moon	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	13	39%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.04	-0.11	0.02	12	58%	0.00	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	15	42%	0.02	6	-0.17	6	50%	-0.03
Randy Foye	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	11	37%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0	75%	0.02	5	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	1	150%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	6	76%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	16	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	9	16%	-0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	7	0%	-0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	15	41%	-0.01	2	-0.19	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.22,-0.16,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	0.01	13	31%	-0.06	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	31.5	16.5	26.4	2.6	39.1	142.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.0%

LAC +9.8%

LAC +5.9%

MEM -2.5%

LAC +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.5	86.3	87.1	105.7
season	15.4	15.5		104.4	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.7	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.0	12.4	15.5	17.3	15.6
MEM	14.7	14.8	12.8	18.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	59	56	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.50	11	-10	21	14.9	16.7	-1.87	15.7	14.1	1.60
Eric Bledsoe	43	41	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-9	19	14.4	16.6	-2.14	15.8	14.5	1.32
Chris Kaman	59	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.58	-4	5	-9	16.4	14.3	2.11	16.1	13.1	2.98
Mo Williams	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.53	-4	5	-9	16.4	14.1	2.25	15.8	13.6	2.16
Blake Griffin	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.50	-5	6	-11	16.2	12.9	3.30	15.0	15.2	-0.24
DeAndre Jordan	45	42	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	-9	19	14.9	16.2	-1.25	13.7	16.2	-2.51
Al-Farouq Aminu	22	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-3	7	18.0	14.9	3.14	13.6	15.5	-1.90
Craig Smith	10	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	0	1	8.8	16.4	-7.59	14.7	15.1	-0.32
Eric Gordon	57	57	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	7	-13	14.9	16.6	-1.69	14.6	15.7	-1.11
Jamario Moon	42	43	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.04	-12	13	-25	16.3	15.0	1.25	13.7	16.2	-2.42

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	45	45	0.20	-0.69	0.89	0.08	4	-5	9	14.6	15.5	-0.90	16.2	15.0	1.20
Ish Smith	14	12	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-3	5	11.6	15.6	-4.00	13.2	15.9	-2.77
Leon Powe	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-1	1	14.3	15.1	-0.76	11.7	15.9	-4.19
Hamed Haddadi	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-3	5	14.3	15.1	-0.73	20.3	15.4	4.90
Greivis Vasquez	5	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	1	-3	19.4	14.8	4.60	20.5	15.4	5.13
Zach Randolph	68	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.52	12	-13	25	15.6	13.6	1.97	16.3	13.7	2.54
O.J. Mayo	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	7	-15	13.3	15.6	-2.37	14.6	15.9	-1.35
Darrell Arthur	28	29	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	10	-21	13.7	15.6	-1.85	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Tony Allen	70	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.52	7	-8	15	15.6	13.3	2.37	15.9	14.6	1.35
Mike Conley	74	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	0	-1	15.4	13.7	1.71	15.7	15.0	0.71
Marc Gasol	81	82	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.48	-5	4	-9	15.1	14.5	0.62	15.2	18.0	-2.79
Shane Battier	48	50	-0.69	0.20	-0.89	-0.55	-5	4	-9	15.5	14.6	0.90	15.0	16.2	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 111, CHA 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.85,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.17,0	92.2%
MIA 92, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.84,0.27,0	91.9%
IND 104, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.16,0	90.7%