NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Excitement	4.0 [1070]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): +10.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	106		Comeback	1.0 [1302]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -15.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	71%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.07	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	16	56%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Lazar Hayward	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	2	33%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.05	12	77%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	69%	0.14	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	8	61%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-0.03	11	23%	-0.07	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	29.1	15.6	23.3	2.4	30.5	126.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +19.7%

MIN -4.1%

MEM +7.6%

MEM +26.1%

MEM +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	15.5	91.8	108.2	105.7
season	14.3	15.5		102.7	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.7	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	12.6	16.4	13.9	14.1
MEM	15.0	14.0	15.6	17.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lazar Hayward	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-16	15	12.1	14.5	-2.32	13.3	15.8	-2.56
Nikola Pekovic	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-16	15	14.0	14.2	-0.24	16.3	14.1	2.18
Luke Ridnour	62	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-5	-7	13.3	15.5	-2.18	16.1	14.2	1.92
Martell Webster	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-7	-3	13.6	14.7	-1.10	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Wesley Johnson	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-13	9	14.4	13.7	0.72	16.4	14.5	1.86
Anthony Tolliver	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-8	-1	14.0	14.3	-0.32	15.3	15.7	-0.34
Jonny Flynn	35	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-12	7	15.5	13.3	2.18	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Anthony Randolph	19	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-4	-9	17.3	13.3	3.94	13.2	15.9	-2.78
Michael Beasley	76	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-5	-7	13.4	16.8	-3.41	15.3	15.9	-0.53
Wayne Ellington	51	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.16	-18	1	-19	15.0	13.1	1.91	15.5	15.4	0.14

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	-4	25	15.5	15.3	0.19	12.7	17.1	-4.35
Mike Conley	69	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.10	17	0	17	16.1	14.0	2.09	13.6	15.3	-1.71
Tony Allen	60	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	3	11	16.5	13.7	2.87	12.7	16.2	-3.48
O.J. Mayo	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	5	7	15.0	15.9	-0.87	14.8	13.2	1.63
Leon Powe	26	24	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	13	-9	14.1	15.9	-1.80	15.9	13.5	2.42
Sam Young	50	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	12	-7	15.8	15.1	0.74	13.0	15.2	-2.16
Marc Gasol	60	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	15	-13	15.6	15.2	0.37	14.1	14.1	0.06
Shane Battier	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	13	-9	13.7	16.4	-2.65	16.6	12.7	3.93
Ish Smith	17	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	12	-7	12.5	16.0	-3.52	15.1	13.9	1.14
Hamed Haddadi	9	10	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	11	-5	17.0	15.3	1.72	11.0	14.4	-3.45
Darrell Arthur	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	15	-13	15.5	15.4	0.07	16.9	12.9	4.02
Greivis Vasquez	15	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.14	-7	24	-31	16.0	15.3	0.66	15.4	13.9	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NYK 103, ORL 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAS 93, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	95.7%