NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	100		Excitement	8.9 [123]		MVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): +27.4%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	6.3 [127]		LVP	Ronnie Price (UTA): -23.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.19,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27	-0.04	0.29	-0.02	25	44%	0.34	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Kevin Seraphin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.12
Yi Jianlian	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	12	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	13	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
John Wall	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	0.08	-0.29	0.00	20	56%	-0.11	2	-0.10	10	80%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	15	45%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.07	-0.00	4	60%	0.25	4	-0.24	2	100%	0.09
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.03	9	62%	0.06	4	-0.09	3	33%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	0.00	-0.15	0.02	12	50%	-0.09	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	18	40%	-0.11	4	-0.11	7	57%	-0.04
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.10	-0.00	9	27%	-0.11	3	-0.12	4	25%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.4	1.6	26.4	15.4	23.5	1.7	33.0	1.8	17.5	142.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +8.8%

WAS +2.9%

WAS +4.5%

WAS +33.1%

WAS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.2	15.5	99.0	94.1	105.7
season	15.1	15.9		100.9	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		108.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.9	12.3	15.9	19.3	12.4	15.2
UTA	18.7	20.5	16.9	12.0	11.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	93	92	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-6	17	16.0	6.5	9.50	16.3	15.8	0.50
Cartier Martin	40	40	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-2	9	13.0	16.7	-3.64	17.5	15.4	2.09
John Wall	94	95	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	1	3	15.0	18.3	-3.26	16.4	14.0	2.38
Jordan Crawford	83	84	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	8	-11	16.2	10.7	5.57	15.2	21.6	-6.43
Othyus Jeffers	45	43	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	-4	13	14.2	16.1	-1.85	14.9	17.2	-2.28
Kevin Seraphin	39	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	-2	9	13.1	16.6	-3.54	19.5	14.3	5.23
Maurice Evans	62	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	8	-11	16.2	13.7	2.58	15.3	17.8	-2.44
Yi Jianlian	42	44	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.15	-3	8	-11	16.3	14.5	1.86	16.0	16.4	-0.46
Hamady Ndiaye	7	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	9	-13	12.4	15.5	-3.03	21.0	16.0	5.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	34	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-8	11	17.8	15.4	2.39	16.3	14.7	1.61
Al Jefferson	54	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-2	-1	18.7	13.4	5.26	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Paul Millsap	63	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-6	7	17.1	14.8	2.32	14.4	16.8	-2.33
Ronnie Price	45	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	1	-7	16.4	16.1	0.29	15.7	14.9	0.86
Derrick Favors	47	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-3	1	13.4	18.7	-5.26	15.3	15.2	0.09
CJ Miles	83	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-5	5	16.2	16.4	-0.25	15.6	13.7	1.92
Earl Watson	62	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-1	-3	16.2	16.3	-0.16	14.5	16.6	-2.17
Jeremy Evans	45	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	3	-11	14.8	17.4	-2.55	16.3	14.4	1.88
Gordon Hayward	72	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	1	-7	15.6	17.8	-2.18	14.9	16.2	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.07,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.29,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.09,0	91.9%
MIL 141, SAC 140	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.13,0.04,0.16,0.41,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.27,0	91.8%
MIA 110, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.32,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.34,0.16,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	91.5%