NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	9.5 [91]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +14.8%
Sacramento Kings	95		Comeback	1.6 [800]		LVP	Brad Miller (SAC): -39.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.15	-0.11	0.26	0.00	11	40%	0.23	4	-0.08	8	50%	-0.06
Shaquille O'Neal	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	15	64%	0.16	4	-0.08	15	60%	-0.06
Boris Diaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	5	90%	0.16	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Singletary	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03
Grant Hill	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.38,-0.38,-0.31,-0.31,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	19	51%	0.01	7	-0.24	5	80%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.08	0.00	10	58%	0.25	3	-0.17	4	100%	0.04
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	16	58%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	9	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.08
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	4	11%	-0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.44,-0.39	-0.39	-0.10	-0.28	0.01	16	49%	-0.03	6	-0.37	9	78%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	31.5	16.6	22.3	3.4	42.3	2.5	18.3	164.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +69.2%

SAC -35.7%

PHX +8.4%

PHX +11.6%

SAC -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	15.6	15.5	95.1	94.1	106.4
season	14.1	15.0		112.1	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		112.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	14.0	19.4	16.0	14.6	14.8	15.8
SAC	16.0	14.9	16.7	14.8	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	84	84	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-7	16	15.3	18.0	-2.73	15.8	14.6	1.19
Raja Bell	96	94	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	0	2	15.3	23.7	-8.41	15.5	16.0	-0.46
Grant Hill	86	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	1	0	15.7	16.2	-0.59	15.8	14.5	1.30
Boris Diaw	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	16.3	15.3	1.09	15.6	15.5	0.10
Goran Dragic	59	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	-1	4	15.2	16.5	-1.35	16.1	14.9	1.21
Sean Singletary	44	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	4	-6	16.2	15.4	0.79	14.9	16.1	-1.19
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	72	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.44	-11	13	-24	16.2	14.7	1.49	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Lou Amundson	21	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	1	0	18.2	15.1	3.07	14.4	15.9	-1.49

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	38	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	16.5	15.0	1.48	16.4	15.4	0.98
Donte Greene	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	0	-2	14.6	15.6	-1.03	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Quincy Douby	36	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.33	9	-11	20	15.2	15.8	-0.50	15.0	16.2	-1.25
Bobby Brown	25	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-2	2	15.5	15.6	-0.13	14.9	16.0	-1.12
Bobby Jackson	22	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	4	-10	14.3	15.9	-1.66	16.3	15.6	0.67
Jason Thompson	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	5	-12	16.6	14.9	1.66	16.4	15.3	1.06
Beno Udrih	78	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-2	2	15.6	15.5	0.12	15.9	15.2	0.77
John Salmons	96	97	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-2	2	15.6	14.6	1.03	15.8	15.4	0.37
Spencer Hawes	71	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	1	-4	14.9	17.1	-2.22	15.8	15.6	0.27
Brad Miller	93	94	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	0	-2	15.7	14.1	1.57	15.4	19.4	-3.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.29,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 141, SAC 140	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.13,0.04,0.16,0.41,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.27,0	91.9%
WAS 100, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	91.9%
MEM 104, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.09,0	91.5%