NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Excitement	7.8 [291]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (MIN): +27.3%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.8 [997]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -14.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.15	0.00	5	100%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17	0.18	-0.01	0.01	20	72%	0.23	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.08,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	65%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	44%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Darko Milicic	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	11	46%	0.01	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.08	-0.00	10	80%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.15	0.01	7	60%	0.20	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	12	69%	0.24	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.03	-0.04	14	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.09	0.02	26	53%	0.19	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	28.4	16.8	20.2	2.4	30.6	124.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +19.0%

DAL +10.3%

DAL +22.3%

DAL +2.4%

MIN -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.5	99.0	107.2	105.7
season	14.3	15.7		102.7	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.8	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.5	16.5	13.6	16.2	14.9
DAL	14.8	13.5	14.6	16.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	36	34	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.07	-1	-7	6	15.5	14.5	0.93	15.0	14.7	0.35
Michael Beasley	52	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-11	14	14.3	15.6	-1.29	14.0	15.7	-1.74
Darko Milicic	32	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-9	10	12.9	15.9	-2.96	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Luke Ridnour	50	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-8	8	14.3	15.5	-1.25	14.6	15.0	-0.46
Wesley Johnson	58	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	14.5	15.5	-1.05	14.2	15.7	-1.49
Wayne Ellington	39	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	15.5	14.5	1.05	15.7	14.2	1.49
Anthony Tolliver	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	2	-12	15.9	13.7	2.22	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Jonny Flynn	47	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	0	-8	15.5	14.3	1.25	15.0	14.6	0.46
Martell Webster	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	3	-14	15.6	14.3	1.29	15.7	14.0	1.74
Anthony Randolph	72	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	-2	-4	14.7	15.3	-0.58	15.0	14.1	0.90

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	69	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-2	12	15.2	13.9	1.33	14.4	16.0	-1.57
Tyson Chandler	57	56	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.42	6	2	4	15.5	13.7	1.79	13.9	16.2	-2.27
Jason Terry	60	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-5	18	14.7	15.0	-0.32	15.8	13.4	2.34
Dirk Nowitzki	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	14.9	14.4	0.49	15.2	14.0	1.12
Shawn Marion	66	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	3	2	15.0	14.3	0.71	13.3	18.2	-4.81
Peja Stojakovic	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	3	2	14.3	15.3	-0.99	16.6	13.0	3.63
Ian Mahinmi	10	10	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	-1	10	10.0	15.4	-5.36	19.2	14.4	4.81
Rodrigue Beaubois	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	10	-12	14.0	15.2	-1.25	13.3	15.6	-2.30
Brian Cardinal	5	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	10	-12	14.8	14.8	-0.00	13.2	15.0	-1.71
Jose Juan Barea	33	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.07	-5	13	-18	15.0	14.7	0.34	15.7	14.5	1.29
Brendan Haywood	30	31	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	15	-22	15.0	14.7	0.28	15.2	14.7	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.67,0.46,0.77,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, TOR 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.84,0.92,1	92.0%
UTA 86, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	92.0%
IND 92, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.56,0.46,0.55,0.92,1	91.9%