NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	6.4 [547]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +14.1%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	3.7 [455]		LVP	Anthony Morrow (NJN): -11.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.10	-0.02	17	53%	0.17	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	7	93%	0.17	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Roy Hibbert	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	14	69%	0.16	4	-0.12	7	57%	-0.04
Lance Stephenson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Paul George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	54%	0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	9	56%	0.00	4	-0.08	9	100%	0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.09	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.02	12	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	20	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.04	15	39%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	30.1	15.3	26.5	1.6	46.4	145.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.5%

IND +25.3%

NJN -9.7%

NJN -10.9%

NJN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	13.7	16.1	15.5	105.2	102.1	105.7
season	14.7	16.4		103.1	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.8	14.4	12.1	13.6	13.7
NJN	16.5	16.9	18.4	13.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	79	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-5	14	13.6	14.3	-0.70	16.7	13.7	3.00
Roy Hibbert	62	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-7	18	13.4	14.3	-0.99	18.5	12.4	6.13
Brandon Rush	62	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	8	-12	14.1	13.0	1.11	14.2	19.4	-5.23
Tyler Hansbrough	51	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-10	24	12.8	14.7	-1.87	18.9	13.3	5.54
Danny Granger	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	-1	6	13.3	14.8	-1.56	16.7	14.9	1.80
Paul George	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-5	14	12.3	14.6	-2.24	18.6	14.5	4.07
Dahntay Jones	28	27	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	5	-6	14.8	13.3	1.56	14.9	16.7	-1.80
Josh McRoberts	46	48	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.43	-12	16	-28	14.7	12.8	1.95	13.1	19.2	-6.17
Lance Stephenson	18	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	9	-14	14.3	13.6	0.70	13.7	16.7	-3.00
Jeff Foster	33	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	10	-16	15.1	13.0	2.14	13.2	17.8	-4.55

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	44	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.35	9	-13	22	14.5	17.5	-2.95	14.9	12.8	2.06
Brandan Wright	24	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-2	0	13.2	17.1	-3.97	12.5	14.1	-1.58
Johan Petro	25	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	1	-6	14.2	16.8	-2.69	12.8	14.0	-1.16
Sasha Vujacic	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-9	14	14.7	17.0	-2.32	12.7	14.3	-1.56
Jordan Farmar	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-1	-2	17.0	14.7	2.25	14.6	12.2	2.37
Brook Lopez	67	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.31	2	-6	8	17.6	12.7	4.90	13.8	13.5	0.24
Stephen Graham	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	7	-18	18.1	14.5	3.55	13.5	13.9	-0.41
Anthony Morrow	69	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-1	-2	16.5	15.3	1.18	13.6	14.0	-0.39
Sundiata Gaines	51	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.41	2	-6	8	13.8	18.8	-5.00	13.0	14.6	-1.56
Kris Humphries	59	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	10	-24	17.9	13.3	4.68	14.2	12.9	1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.6%
IND 92, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.22,0.23,0.09,0	92.6%
PHI 90, MIL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.03,0.02,0	92.4%