NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	8.2 [215]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (MIN): +25.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	2.3 [893]		LVP	Jonny Flynn (MIN): -16.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.14	0.05	-0.06	21	63%	0.29	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Michael Beasley	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.02	0.14	-0.00	14	56%	0.22	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.13
Martell Webster	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	9	48%	0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.07
Nikola Pekovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Wayne Ellington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	8	44%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Kevin Love	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.01	13	54%	-0.01	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	4	100%	0.17	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	17	71%	0.26	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.06	0.13	-0.04	17	46%	0.18	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	7	87%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	8	47%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	9	40%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.01	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.11	0.03	8	53%	-0.05	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	9	36%	0.02	3	-0.16	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	27.0	15.8	25.5	1.0	42.2	136.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.4%

LAL +6.3%

LAL +7.7%

MIN -3.4%

LAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.5	103.2	111.6	105.7
season	14.3	15.9		102.7	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.1	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.0	14.0	14.2	17.2	14.5
LAL	15.8	16.0	16.5	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	56	57	0.60	-1.10	1.70	0.04	19	-27	46	14.6	14.4	0.14	17.6	13.2	4.40
Nikola Pekovic	29	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-7	6	18.0	13.0	4.97	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Wayne Ellington	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-7	6	15.5	14.4	1.16	15.7	15.8	-0.08
Anthony Tolliver	29	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	16.5	13.7	2.83	14.7	16.2	-1.53
Jonny Flynn	30	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.14	-9	1	-10	16.2	13.7	2.46	16.1	15.7	0.49
Luke Ridnour	65	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.41	1	-9	10	13.7	16.2	-2.46	15.7	16.1	-0.49
Kevin Love	66	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-3	-2	13.7	16.5	-2.83	16.2	14.7	1.53
Darko Milicic	66	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	13.0	18.0	-4.97	16.0	15.4	0.58
Wesley Johnson	75	75	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.37	-12	4	-16	13.5	18.1	-4.60	15.4	17.2	-1.84
Martell Webster	48	47	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.20	-22	14	-36	15.7	13.3	2.45	14.3	17.3	-2.97

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	67	67	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.21	20	-12	32	15.1	17.4	-2.26	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Kobe Bryant	58	56	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.37	12	-4	16	15.3	16.6	-1.30	14.1	15.2	-1.13
Steve Blake	47	48	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.21	14	-6	20	14.7	16.8	-2.09	15.5	13.5	2.07
Lamar Odom	58	58	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	5	-2	15.3	16.6	-1.30	15.1	13.6	1.42
Derek Fisher	62	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	6	-4	15.8	15.8	-0.07	13.6	16.0	-2.35
Metta World Peace	64	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	12	-16	15.8	15.7	0.13	13.7	16.1	-2.41
Matt Barnes	31	33	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	-4	16	15.7	15.8	-0.13	16.1	13.7	2.41
Shannon Brown	37	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.11	-4	12	-16	16.6	15.3	1.30	15.2	14.1	1.13
Andrew Bynum	65	65	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	15	-22	16.9	13.3	3.61	14.4	14.9	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.79,0.9,0.99,1	92.2%
TOR 91, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.96,0.98,1	92.0%
BOS 75, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.99,1,1	91.7%