NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	107		Excitement	6.2 [597]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +29.5%
Toronto Raptors	116		Comeback	1.7 [976]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): -12.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.21	0.02	0.02	15	81%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.02	0.05	7	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Hamady Ndiaye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	14	52%	0.03	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.05
Othyus Jeffers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Yi Jianlian	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	39%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
JaVale McGee	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	10	42%	-0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Jordan Crawford	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	27	45%	-0.03	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.15	0.14	-0.00	15	69%	0.36	3	-0.06	18	83%	0.06
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.25	0.25	0.03	0.03	15	77%	0.26	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	11	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	2	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.04	12	68%	0.07	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	39.0	16.4	23.5	2.3	37.6	148.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.3%

TOR +16.0%

TOR +5.4%

WAS -9.6%

WAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	111.5	120.8	105.7
season	15.1	15.1		100.9	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.2		111.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.7	14.2	16.8	11.0	15.0
TOR	13.2	13.5	15.2	17.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othyus Jeffers	24	22	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-14	19	12.8	15.7	-2.96	17.8	14.1	3.67
Kevin Seraphin	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-5	1	20.2	14.4	5.79	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Trevor Booker	70	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.21	1	-10	11	15.1	14.9	0.17	15.3	14.1	1.13
Yi Jianlian	68	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-5	1	15.7	13.4	2.33	14.3	16.4	-2.05
Hamady Ndiaye	21	22	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	0	-9	15.6	14.8	0.78	15.6	14.8	0.84
Maurice Evans	60	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	13.2	18.1	-4.92	15.6	13.9	1.70
JaVale McGee	59	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	14.9	15.1	-0.16	14.6	15.6	-0.94
John Wall	83	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	15.4	12.6	2.77	14.7	17.9	-3.25
Jordan Crawford	85	84	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	7	-23	15.3	13.0	2.27	14.6	17.7	-3.15

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	71	72	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.05	24	-15	39	14.5	16.4	-1.96	16.4	11.0	5.40
Andrea Bargnani	82	82	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-8	25	14.6	17.4	-2.86	15.6	11.6	4.03
Jose Calderon	69	69	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.01	21	-12	33	13.8	18.0	-4.24	15.8	13.1	2.64
James Johnson	57	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.02	19	-10	29	13.7	16.9	-3.26	17.7	11.3	6.40
Reggie Evans	57	55	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-5	19	14.8	15.2	-0.36	13.7	16.8	-3.05
Amir Johnson	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	6	-3	13.7	15.5	-1.74	19.5	13.2	6.34
Jerryd Bayless	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.25	-12	21	-33	18.0	13.8	4.24	13.1	15.8	-2.64
Sonny Weems	23	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.19	-10	19	-29	17.9	14.1	3.84	12.5	15.8	-3.35
Leandro Barbosa	41	40	-0.17	0.68	-0.85	0.26	-15	24	-39	16.1	14.2	1.89	10.3	18.3	-7.99
Ed Davis	26	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.24	-16	25	-41	17.9	13.9	4.02	11.2	16.5	-5.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,1	94.6%
ORL 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.9,0.9,0.94,1,1	94.1%
ORL 98, IND 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%