NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	7.8 [280]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +27.0%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	25.5 [58]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -27.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.13	0.05	15	61%	0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.47,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.04	16	64%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.02	0.04	9	77%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	11	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	17	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28	-0.19	-0.11	-0.02	11	18%	-0.18	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.27	0.27	-0.00	0.25	-0.02	9	62%	0.34	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.03	0.12	-0.06	21	45%	0.16	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	4	79%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0,-0.07,-0.16,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.09	-0.01	26	49%	0.05	1	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.06	-0.15	0.00	12	63%	0.12	2	-0.21	6	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.15	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	27.4	15.0	26.1	2.5	35.3	0.2	11.9	145.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +64.8%

UTA +5.2%

UTA +28.2%

PHI -45.3%

PHI -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.5	101.9	106.7	105.7
season	15.5	15.9		104.6	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	15.2	16.3	13.6	12.2	15.1	14.4
UTA	14.8	15.0	15.2	17.8	18.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	58	58	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.51	-5	0	-5	14.9	13.7	1.17	14.4	17.8	-3.47
Tony Battie	22	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.21	8	-13	21	13.1	14.7	-1.56	20.8	14.6	6.20
Evan Turner	31	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-12	19	14.7	14.2	0.43	17.6	15.3	2.31
Jason Kapono	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	11.0	14.4	-3.40	7.0	16.0	-9.00
Lou Williams	63	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.43	13	-18	31	13.8	15.2	-1.44	16.0	15.7	0.33
Marreese Speights	4	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-1	-3	11.7	14.5	-2.73	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Jrue Holiday	68	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	1	-7	14.3	14.5	-0.14	14.7	18.3	-3.60
Elton Brand	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	14.7	13.4	1.25	16.3	14.7	1.68
Andre Iguodala	77	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	7	-19	14.3	14.5	-0.22	15.5	17.3	-1.80
Thaddeus Young	46	44	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.73	-5	0	-5	14.4	14.4	-0.00	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Jodie Meeks	79	79	-1.06	0.56	-1.62	-0.53	-18	13	-31	14.4	14.3	0.03	16.0	15.6	0.45

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	79	76	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.91	3	2	1	16.0	15.6	0.45	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Al Jefferson	91	89	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	0	5	16.1	14.6	1.55	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Andrei Kirilenko	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-4	13	15.9	15.9	-0.02	14.4	14.3	0.07
Raja Bell	70	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	3	-1	16.1	15.5	0.56	14.3	14.6	-0.36
Earl Watson	48	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	4	-3	16.9	15.1	1.85	14.6	14.2	0.36
Devin Harris	60	58	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	1	3	15.3	16.7	-1.32	14.0	14.8	-0.83
Jeremy Evans	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	8	-11	16.6	15.5	1.16	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Kyrylo Fesenko	13	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	3	-1	14.0	16.2	-2.18	16.9	14.0	2.95
Derrick Favors	49	51	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.45	2	3	-1	14.7	16.9	-2.21	14.9	13.9	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.8,0.96,0.97,0.42,0.46,0.76,0.78,0.55,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.89,0.73,1	89.7%
HOU 98, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	89.4%
TOR 108, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	89.3%