NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	95		Excitement	6.9 [446]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): +24.8%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	1.2 [573]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -13.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.11	0.00	14	72%	0.25	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16	0.06	0.12	0.02	13	60%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Dante Cunningham	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	9	83%	0.15	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	14	44%	-0.02	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.09	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Joey Dorsey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	8	68%	0.09	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	40%	0.00	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.06
James Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	44%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	18	41%	0.01	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	13	37%	-0.04	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	29.4	15.7	27.2	2.5	34.6	138.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +45.6%

CHA +3.2%

TOR -21.6%

CHA +29.9%

TOR -7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.5	105.6	97.8	105.7
season	16.2	15.1		102.3	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		111.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.2	15.4	16.3	17.2	16.7
TOR	17.0	16.6	11.4	15.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	75	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-5	15	17.0	15.1	1.97	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Kwame Brown	34	36	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.05	21	-16	37	16.6	16.7	-0.10	15.4	14.7	0.66
Gerald Henderson	73	73	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-2	9	16.9	15.8	1.09	15.2	14.2	1.01
Stephen Jackson	73	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	0	5	16.4	17.9	-1.52	14.8	15.8	-1.06
D.J. Augustin	65	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	1	3	16.3	17.7	-1.34	14.4	16.5	-2.10
Shaun Livingston	25	26	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	4	-3	17.7	16.3	1.34	16.5	14.4	2.10
Tyrus Thomas	43	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.40	-10	15	-25	17.0	16.5	0.46	14.0	15.8	-1.88
Dante Cunningham	34	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	7	-9	16.9	16.6	0.28	14.9	15.0	-0.02
DJ White	20	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.09	-2	7	-9	15.4	17.1	-1.62	17.5	14.1	3.36
Eduardo Najera	8	8	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	14	-23	15.7	16.8	-1.05	13.6	15.1	-1.46

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	31	27	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-9	13	16.8	14.0	2.74	17.9	16.2	1.68
Jerryd Bayless	37	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-11	17	16.2	14.1	2.15	18.5	15.6	2.90
Joey Dorsey	6	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-5	5	15.5	14.9	0.58	13.3	17.0	-3.62
Andrea Bargnani	74	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-8	11	14.8	15.4	-0.61	16.9	16.0	0.88
Leandro Barbosa	45	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-5	5	15.2	14.7	0.48	16.2	17.2	-1.05
Reggie Evans	56	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-5	5	15.5	14.1	1.34	18.0	15.0	2.97
James Johnson	50	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	6	-17	14.2	15.8	-1.61	16.9	16.5	0.34
DeMar DeRozan	58	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	14.4	15.9	-1.42	16.4	17.2	-0.78
Jose Calderon	55	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	6	-17	14.1	16.2	-2.15	15.6	18.5	-2.90
Ed Davis	48	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	8	-21	14.5	15.5	-1.04	15.6	18.1	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0	93.2%
HOU 112, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.1%
CLE 97, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.0%