NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	9.1 [111]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +34.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	97		Comeback	4.7 [350]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -23.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.12	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	11	77%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.15
Nicolas Batum	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	8	65%	0.17	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Brandon Roy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	17	38%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.08
Marcus Camby	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.1,-0.23	0.02	-0.26	-0.01	12	60%	-0.04	3	-0.19	1	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.01,0.35	0.35	-0.00	0.34	-0.00	25	52%	0.48	5	-0.13	6	100%	0.06
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.03	0.03	9	73%	0.25	1	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	6	79%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	12	50%	0.12	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.04
Matt Carroll	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	12	43%	-0.11	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	27.7	15.8	27.3	2.4	38.5	140.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +3.8%

CHA +50.6%

CHA +1.9%

POR -6.3%

CHA +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHA	NBA	POR	CHA	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	15.5	100.0	105.4	105.7
season	16.5	16.2		106.7	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	16.9	15.4	15.3	15.3
CHA	13.1	19.1	19.6	13.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	43	42	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.07	4	-9	13	16.4	14.4	2.03	16.6	15.4	1.20
Rudy Fernandez	32	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-3	1	16.2	14.9	1.29	16.3	15.8	0.50
Patty Mills	27	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	3	-11	15.5	15.2	0.24	15.7	16.1	-0.47
Nicolas Batum	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-3	1	15.6	15.1	0.51	16.9	15.4	1.54
Brandon Roy	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-4	3	14.7	16.2	-1.53	15.4	16.8	-1.35
Andre Miller	65	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-8	11	15.2	15.5	-0.24	16.1	15.7	0.47
Wesley Matthews	60	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	14.9	16.2	-1.29	15.8	16.3	-0.50
LaMarcus Aldridge	81	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.39	-7	2	-9	15.2	16.3	-1.09	16.2	14.5	1.67
Gerald Wallace	61	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	4	-13	15.1	15.7	-0.64	15.2	17.5	-2.25

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	36	35	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.44	13	-8	21	15.3	16.4	-1.12	15.8	15.0	0.74
DJ White	52	52	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.31	17	-12	29	16.1	15.9	0.16	15.6	14.9	0.65
Shaun Livingston	19	18	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	-4	13	15.7	16.1	-0.38	18.1	14.6	3.41
Stephen Jackson	70	70	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	1	3	16.0	16.0	-0.07	15.4	15.0	0.47
Tyrus Thomas	47	46	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	2	1	14.6	17.4	-2.85	15.3	15.3	-0.07
Matt Carroll	11	12	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	1	3	19.5	15.5	3.94	15.7	15.2	0.50
Gerald Henderson	69	68	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.13	-10	15	-25	15.7	16.7	-1.00	14.7	17.1	-2.39
Kwame Brown	44	45	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	11	-17	16.7	15.4	1.28	15.7	15.0	0.69
Boris Diaw	41	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	11	-17	16.8	15.4	1.43	14.9	15.6	-0.69
D.J. Augustin	71	74	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.17	-3	8	-11	16.1	15.5	0.66	14.6	18.1	-3.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.71,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 73, BOS 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.28,1	90.5%
MIN 79, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.81,1	89.4%
TOR 100, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.42,1	89.3%