NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	8.3 [194]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +74.9%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	31.9 [52]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -21.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.75	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.29,0.75	0.16	0.60	0.01	24	71%	0.82	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	17	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Cousin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	31%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	19	51%	0.03	5	-0.11	7	71%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16	-0.01	-0.14	0.01	3	50%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.2	0.20	-0.06	0.25	-0.01	8	39%	0.25	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.07	-0.00	10	73%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.06	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.13	-0.00	12	58%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.14	-0.04	16	40%	-0.01	4	-0.21	11	82%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	32.1	15.6	23.5	2.7	26.9	126.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.3%

TOR -12.3%

UTA +24.1%

UTA +7.8%

UTA +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	17.0	16.6	15.5	111.6	110.6	105.7
season	15.9	15.1		106.4	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		111.2	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.9	15.8	19.9	16.8	17.0
TOR	14.7	18.5	14.4	19.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	73	73	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.41	21	-19	40	16.0	22.8	-6.76	16.4	17.9	-1.48
Al Jefferson	76	77	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.42	18	-16	34	16.3	22.5	-6.18	16.8	15.1	1.68
CJ Miles	61	62	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-11	24	16.8	17.7	-0.97	16.5	17.0	-0.42
Raja Bell	80	80	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.43	9	-7	16	16.7	21.5	-4.80	16.8	14.6	2.18
Earl Watson	33	33	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.53	-8	10	-18	18.7	16.0	2.75	18.8	15.3	3.45
Derrick Favors	31	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	6	-10	17.6	16.7	0.90	16.5	16.7	-0.16
Marcus Cousin	2	1	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.06	-1	3	-4	7.5	17.3	-9.76	24.0	16.6	7.44
Kyrylo Fesenko	19	18	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.06	-6	8	-14	17.5	16.9	0.56	15.6	16.9	-1.38
Gordon Hayward	28	25	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.04	-15	17	-32	18.4	16.4	1.96	16.7	16.6	0.05
Jeremy Evans	27	25	-0.52	1.02	-1.55	-0.02	-17	19	-36	19.7	15.8	3.94	14.4	17.6	-3.13

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Dorsey	20	23	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.23	6	-8	14	17.5	16.4	1.12	17.0	17.1	-0.11
Leandro Barbosa	36	37	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.08	9	-11	20	18.1	15.6	2.54	17.6	16.6	0.93
James Johnson	32	33	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.05	8	-10	18	15.0	17.6	-2.59	18.8	15.9	2.89
Julian Wright	4	4	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-6	10	23.2	16.3	6.93	21.5	16.8	4.68
Amir Johnson	16	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.04	-3	1	-4	14.1	17.2	-3.18	16.3	17.2	-0.92
Ed Davis	64	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	3	-8	15.8	19.2	-3.44	16.7	18.2	-1.52
Jerryd Bayless	37	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.56	9	-11	20	18.2	15.5	2.73	17.7	16.6	1.09
Reggie Evans	59	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-1	0	17.7	14.2	3.59	17.4	16.3	1.13
Jose Calderon	56	57	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.31	-16	14	-30	15.8	18.3	-2.58	16.4	18.2	-1.82
Sonny Weems	41	40	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.70	-6	4	-10	17.2	16.1	1.06	16.3	17.7	-1.42
DeMar DeRozan	60	61	-1.03	0.53	-1.55	-0.59	-15	13	-28	15.9	18.4	-2.48	16.4	18.6	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.71,0.67,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 100, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.42,0	90.2%
SAS 89, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.9,0.47,0	89.9%
NYK 100, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.54,0.69,0.16,0	89.8%