NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	8.7 [150]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +23.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	6.2 [383]		LVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): -20.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.24	0.16	0.15	0.07	12	74%	0.27	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.12
Brian Cardinal	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.00	0.12	-0.00	7	57%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,0.03,0.03	-0.09	0.09	-0.03	11	42%	0.13	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	4	73%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.00	8	68%	0.10	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.11	0.00	14	68%	0.32	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	8	69%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Darko Milicic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	43%	-0.04	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.31,-0.34,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	22	38%	-0.01	5	-0.16	9	44%	-0.02
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.16	0.01	4	50%	-0.04	2	-0.17	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	31.5	16.5	24.5	2.3	35.1	135.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +40.3%

DAL +12.4%

MIN -12.5%

DAL +10.0%

MIN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	15.5	112.5	110.5	105.7
season	15.7	14.3		108.5	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.5	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.1	15.6	16.0	13.2	14.4
MIN	15.7	16.4	15.3	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	55	57	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-7	17	13.1	16.1	-2.99	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Peja Stojakovic	30	33	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-11	25	13.0	15.0	-2.00	17.3	14.9	2.41
Jose Juan Barea	31	32	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-7	17	14.8	14.2	0.54	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Brendan Haywood	62	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	-5	13	13.9	15.3	-1.37	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Jason Terry	61	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.47	-5	8	-13	15.4	12.7	2.62	15.3	16.5	-1.19
Rodrigue Beaubois	36	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	-5	13	12.8	15.4	-2.61	16.3	15.4	0.93
Ian Mahinmi	30	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	3	-3	15.7	13.8	1.93	16.1	15.6	0.46
Jason Kidd	64	62	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	10	-17	14.2	14.7	-0.52	15.9	15.5	0.42
Brian Cardinal	33	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	3	-3	16.2	13.5	2.71	15.9	15.7	0.17
Shawn Marion	66	62	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	14	-25	15.0	13.0	2.00	14.9	17.3	-2.41
Corey Brewer	12	11	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.14	-12	15	-27	14.6	14.4	0.20	15.5	15.8	-0.24

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	70	71	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.24	13	-16	29	15.4	16.6	-1.20	14.4	14.4	0.01
Anthony Randolph	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-3	3	16.1	15.7	0.43	16.2	14.0	2.18
Darko Milicic	39	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	1	-5	16.9	15.0	1.89	14.1	14.6	-0.49
Michael Beasley	75	75	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-9	15	15.8	15.5	0.26	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Nikola Pekovic	26	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-6	9	14.0	16.4	-2.42	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Wayne Ellington	64	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-3	3	14.7	18.0	-3.28	14.4	14.3	0.12
Kevin Love	72	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-5	7	15.7	16.0	-0.32	14.1	15.5	-1.47
Wesley Johnson	29	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.32	1	-4	5	16.6	15.4	1.24	13.3	14.9	-1.57
Martell Webster	24	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	6	-15	16.4	15.5	0.88	14.5	14.4	0.15
Anthony Tolliver	32	33	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	8	-19	16.5	15.4	1.17	15.5	13.8	1.64
Jonny Flynn	25	25	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.18	-16	13	-29	16.6	15.4	1.20	14.4	14.4	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.37,0.45,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.06,0,0	90.4%
HOU 94, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.27,0	90.4%
ORL 99, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.1,0.23,0.04,0	90.0%