NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	136		Excitement	16.6 [1]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (TOR): +51.1%
New Jersey Nets	137		Comeback	54.6 [30]		LVP	Kris Humphries (NJN): -27.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.51	0.14	0.38	0.01	12	76%	0.56	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.07
Jerryd Bayless	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.01	-0.03	26	51%	0.11	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.13
Ed Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.06	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.11
Andrea Bargnani	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.25,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.02	0.11	-0.08	0.01	28	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.08
Alexis Ajinca	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
James Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	0.00	10	45%	-0.14	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.14	0.28	-0.03	24	61%	0.57	2	-0.13	8	75%	0.07
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.16	0.27	-0.01	16	66%	0.46	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.37	0.37	0.06	0.31	0.00	8	58%	0.37	0	0.00	8	75%	0.09
Damion James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	63%	0.11	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	29%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Stephen Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	5	38%	-0.07	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.04
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.19	-0.01	20	48%	0.05	6	-0.31	4	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.1,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28	-0.28	-0.05	-0.22	0.01	17	48%	-0.05	3	-0.23	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	30.4	15.8	27.2	2.5	39.3	1.5	17.7	1.8	16.1	1.8	21.1	200.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	1.9	16.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +65.9%

NJN +13.7%

NJN +33.1%

TOR -65.8%

NJN +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	16.1	15.5	113.3	116.1	105.7
season	15.1	16.4		104.7	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.5	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	14.0	13.8	19.9	16.6	15.4	15.7
NJN	14.8	14.4	17.1	15.4	18.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	6	7	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-6	11	14.0	15.8	-1.81	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Sonny Weems	27	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-5	9	12.7	16.6	-3.94	14.0	16.6	-2.65
Amir Johnson	65	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.36	11	-12	23	16.1	15.3	0.75	16.6	15.4	1.18
Ed Davis	61	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	7	-15	15.9	15.6	0.31	14.9	17.3	-2.38
Leandro Barbosa	58	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	5	-11	15.0	16.4	-1.32	15.4	16.6	-1.22
Andrea Bargnani	97	98	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	3	-7	15.6	16.1	-0.51	16.1	15.8	0.24
DeMar DeRozan	101	99	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-3	5	16.2	12.9	3.35	16.4	14.4	1.94
Jose Calderon	74	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-1	1	15.3	16.3	-0.99	15.7	16.6	-0.92
James Johnson	35	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	1	-3	16.8	15.3	1.53	16.5	15.9	0.58
Jerryd Bayless	69	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.43	-7	6	-13	16.4	14.8	1.62	16.8	15.1	1.74

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	90	92	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.50	1	0	1	16.0	16.2	-0.17	15.8	15.6	0.19
Jordan Farmar	42	46	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.61	-3	4	-7	15.9	16.1	-0.19	14.5	16.5	-2.04
Sasha Vujacic	85	90	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-17	35	16.4	15.1	1.29	16.6	13.1	3.49
Kris Humphries	101	103	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.37	2	-1	3	16.3	14.8	1.50	15.3	18.2	-2.93
Travis Outlaw	65	64	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.51	-10	11	-21	16.5	15.5	1.02	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Stephen Graham	7	6	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	7	-13	16.4	16.0	0.40	18.7	15.6	3.11
Sundiata Gaines	46	44	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	1	-1	16.4	15.8	0.63	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Johan Petro	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	-1	3	13.0	16.5	-3.46	16.1	15.7	0.40
Damion James	43	43	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	0	1	15.0	16.6	-1.58	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Brook Lopez	89	90	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	3	-5	15.9	16.7	-0.80	15.8	15.4	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.55,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.86,0.74,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 124, CHA 133	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.91,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.78,0.97,1	86.3%
ORL 107, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.42,0	84.3%
POR 101, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.43,0.58,1	84.3%