NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	98		Excitement	7.2 [384]		MVP	Willie Green (NOH): +20.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	3.5 [160]		LVP	Sam Young (MEM): -16.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.02	0.18	-0.01	11	56%	0.26	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	11	73%	0.22	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Marco Belinelli	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	7	93%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	15	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
David Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.01	14	47%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.02	11	55%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	86%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	15	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	8	52%	0.03	2	-0.08	7	57%	-0.17
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	8	25%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	27.2	16.4	28.5	2.6	38.4	140.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +40.3%

NOH +9.5%

MEM -2.0%

NOH +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MEM	NBA	NOH	MEM	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.5	108.9	102.2	105.7
season	16.2	15.5		104.6	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.7	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.7	20.8	14.5	16.7	16.7
MEM	17.8	15.2	13.2	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	70	70	0.93	-0.42	1.35	0.34	20	-13	33	16.4	17.6	-1.17	16.1	13.1	3.02
Carl Landry	72	71	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.37	14	-7	21	17.1	14.9	2.18	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Emeka Okafor	56	56	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-5	17	16.2	17.6	-1.40	17.0	12.9	4.09
Jarrett Jack	56	55	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	8	-9	17.8	14.9	2.95	14.5	17.0	-2.50
Marco Belinelli	32	33	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	1	5	14.8	17.7	-2.96	17.3	14.4	2.89
Quincy Pondexter	55	55	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	1	5	15.3	18.8	-3.45	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Willie Green	52	50	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.27	-8	15	-23	18.1	14.7	3.42	14.3	17.0	-2.75
David West	5	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	8	-9	19.0	16.6	2.45	28.2	14.7	13.47
David Andersen	5	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	9	-11	19.8	16.5	3.29	17.5	15.4	2.11
Aaron Gray	39	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	10	-13	16.4	16.9	-0.58	12.0	18.1	-6.08
Jason Smith	8	8	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.08	-8	15	-23	16.6	16.7	-0.07	14.1	15.6	-1.49

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	42	44	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.11	10	-17	27	11.9	18.7	-6.78	16.6	16.7	-0.10
O.J. Mayo	51	52	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.17	10	-17	27	12.3	19.7	-7.42	16.7	16.6	0.10
Hamed Haddadi	10	11	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-11	15	13.8	15.7	-1.90	19.2	16.3	2.84
Ish Smith	20	22	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-10	13	11.8	16.5	-4.69	14.8	17.3	-2.48
Darrell Arthur	44	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-9	11	12.8	18.1	-5.23	16.1	17.3	-1.22
Marc Gasol	57	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-9	11	16.9	12.9	4.07	17.2	15.8	1.41
Mike Conley	42	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-6	5	17.6	13.6	4.04	17.5	15.9	1.58
Jason Williams	27	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	2	-11	14.9	15.8	-0.91	16.9	16.6	0.32
Tony Allen	47	47	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	7	-21	18.2	12.4	5.83	16.7	16.7	-0.06
Sam Young	38	37	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.22	-20	13	-33	20.3	11.9	8.39	16.7	16.7	0.07
Zach Randolph	67	67	-0.92	0.42	-1.35	-0.28	-22	15	-37	16.2	13.2	3.00	16.2	18.0	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.17,0.26,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.37,0.26,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.2%
CHI 95, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	91.9%
SAS 92, DEN 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.09,0,0	91.5%